{"id":946,"date":"2023-01-20T08:30:41","date_gmt":"2023-01-19T23:30:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/?p=946"},"modified":"2023-01-10T10:10:04","modified_gmt":"2023-01-10T01:10:04","slug":"%ed%8a%b9%ec%a7%91-2023%eb%85%84-%ec%95%84%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84-%ec%a0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d6%eb%8c%80%eb%a7%8c%ed%95%b4%ed%98%91%ec%97%90-%ea%b1%b0%eb%8c%80%ed%95%9c-%eb%a8%b9","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/?p=946","title":{"rendered":"\ud2b9\uc9d1: 2023\ub144 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc815\uc138\uc804\ub9dd(6)<br>\ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611\uc5d0 \u2018\uac70\ub300\ud55c \uba39\uad6c\ub984\u2019\uc774 \ub4dc\ub9ac\uc6cc\uc838 \uc788\ub2e4"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row gap=&#8221;20&#8243;][vc_column width=&#8221;2\/3&#8243;][vc_acf field_group=&#8221;99&#8243; field_from_99=&#8221;field_606aa6f1c30dd&#8221; align=&#8221;right&#8221;][vc_row_inner content_placement=&#8221;middle&#8221; gap=&#8221;20&#8243; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1617603431068{margin-top: -20px !important;background-color: #d6e6eb !important;}&#8221;][vc_column_inner][vc_column_text css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1672896254485{margin-top: -20px !important;margin-bottom: 20px !important;}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ub9cc \uacf5\uaca9 \ubb38\uc81c\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uad00\uacc4\ub098 \uc911\u00b7\ub300\ub9cc \uad00\uacc4\ubfd0\ub9cc \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ub3d9\uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc804\uccb4, \ub098\uc544\uac00\uc11c\ub294 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc5d0 \uc2ec\ub300\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc911\ub300 \uc0ac\uc548\uc774\ub2e4. \ubcf8 \uae00\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4\uc5d0 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \ubb34\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uacf5\uaca9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc123\ubd80\ub978 \ubb34\ub825 \ub3d9\uc6d0\uc740 \uad6d\uc81c\uc801 \uace0\ub9bd, \uad6d\ub825 \ub0ad\ube44, \uacbd\uc81c\ubc1c\uc804 \uc88c\uc808 \ub4f1 \ub9c9\ub300\ud55c \uc190\ud574\uac00 \ub530\ub974\ub294, \u2018\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uafc8\u2019 \uc2e4\ud604\uc744 \ud3ec\uae30\ud574\uc57c\ub9cc \ud560\uc9c0\ub3c4 \ubaa8\ub974\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\ucc9c\ub9cc\ud55c \uc815\ucc45\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc218\ud589 \ub300\uc2e0\uc5d0 \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ub300\ub9cc\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc744 \uc800\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uac1c\uc785\uc744 \ucc28\ub2e8\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uad70\uc0ac\ub825 \uc99d\uac15\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \u2018\ub300\uc548 \uc804\ub7b5(alternative strategy)\u2019\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac70\ub300\ud55c \uba39\uad6c\ub984\uc774 \uc9d9\uac8c \ub4dc\ub9ac\uc6cc\uc838 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>\uc138 \uacf3\uc758 <\/b><b>\u2018<\/b><b>\ud654\uc57d\uace0<\/b><b>(flash point)\u2019<\/b><b>\uc640 \uc911\uad6d<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc9c0\ub09c \uba87 \ub144 \ub3d9\uc548 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\uc7c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \uacf3\uc73c\ub85c \uc138 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc774 \uc8fc\ubaa9\uc744 \ubc1b\uc558\ub2e4. \uccab\uc9f8\ub294 \ud06c\ub9bc\ubc18\ub3c4\ub97c \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \ub3d9\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc774\uace0, \ub458\uc9f8\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc \ub300\ub9cc\uc774 \ub9c8\uc8fc\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611\uc774\uba70, \uc14b\uc9f8\ub294 \ub0a8\ubd81\ud55c\uc774 \ub300\ub9bd\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4\ub2e4. \uc774 \uc911\uc5d0\uc11c \uc77c\ubd80 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc6b0\ub824\uac00 \ud604\uc2e4\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4. \uc989 2022\ub144 2\uc6d4\uc5d0 \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uac00 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098\ub97c \uce68\uacf5\ud588\ub2e4. \ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uad70\uc0ac \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \uc77c\uc5b4\ub098\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uac04 \ud639\uc740 \uc911\u00b7\ub300\ub9cc \uac04\uc5d0 \uad70\uc0ac \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \uc5b8\uc81c\ub77c\ub3c4 \uc77c\uc5b4\ub0a0 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc804\uc6b4(\u6230\u96f2)\uc774 \uac10\ub3cc\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c 2021\ub144\uacfc 2022\ub144\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc601\uad6d\uc758 \uc815\ubcf4\uae30\uad00 \ucc45\uc784\uc790, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc804\u00b7\ud604\uc9c1 \uad70 \uc9c0\ub3c4\uc790, \ub300\ub9cc \uad6d\ubc29\ubd80 \uc7a5\uad00\uc740 \uba87 \ub144 \ub0b4\uc5d0 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \ubb34\ub825 \uce68\uacf5\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ud589\ud788\ub3c4 \ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc0c1\ud0dc\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1 \uadf8 \uc815\ub3c4\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uadf8\ub7f0\ub370 \uc138 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc740 \uba87 \uac00\uc9c0 \uacf5\ud1b5\uc810\uc744 \uac16\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uccab\uc9f8, \ubaa8\ub450 \uac15\uad8c \ud1b5\uce58\uc790(strongman)\uac00 \uc9c0\ubc30\ud558\ub294 \uad8c\uc704\uc8fc\uc758 \uad6d\uac00\uac00 \ubbfc\uc8fc\uc8fc\uc758 \uad6d\uac00\ub97c \uc704\ud611\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c \uc778\ud574 \u2018\uad8c\uc704\uc8fc\uc758 \ub300 \ubbfc\uc8fc\uc8fc\uc758\u2019\ub77c\ub294 \ub300\ub9bd \uc804\uc120\uc774 \ud615\uc131\ub418\uace0, \uad8c\uc704\uc8fc\uc758 \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc774 \uc11c\ub85c \uc5f0\ub300\ud558\ub294 \ud604\uc0c1\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d-\ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544-\ubd81\ud55c\uc758 \uc5f0\ub300 \uac15\ud654\uac00 \uadf8\uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ub458\uc9f8, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad6d\ub825 \uc1e0\ud1f4\uc640 \uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \ud55c\uacc4\uac00 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ub098\ud1a0(NATO) \ud68c\uc6d0\uad6d\uc740 \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uce68\uacf5\uc744 \ub9c9\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\uace0, \ub300\ub9cc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac \uc704\ud611\u2015\uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, 2022\ub144 8\uc6d4 \ub0b8\uc2dc \ud3a0\ub85c\uc2dc \ud558\uc6d0 \uc758\uc7a5\uc758 \ub300\ub9cc \ubc29\ubb38 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc804\uac1c\ud55c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uad70\uc0ac \uc791\uc804\u2015\ub3c4 \uc800\uc9c0\ud558\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\ub2e4. \ubd81\ud575 \ubb38\uc81c\uac00 \uad50\ucc29\uc0c1\ud0dc\uc5d0 \ube60\uc9c4 \uac83\ub3c4 \ub9c8\ucc2c\uac00\uc9c0\ub2e4. \uc14b\uc9f8, \ubd80\uc0c1\ud558\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc774 \uac15\ud558\uac8c \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uac00 \uc11c\ubc29 \uad6d\uac00\uc758 \uc81c\uc7ac\uc5d0 \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc911\uad6d\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \u2018\ube44\uacf5\uc2dd \ub3d9\ub9f9\uad6d(informal alliance)\u2019\uc774 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ubd81\ud55c\uc774 \ud55c\u00b7\ubbf8\uc758 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc81c\uc7ac\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc544\ub791\uacf3\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uace0 \ud575\uacfc \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c \uac1c\ubc1c\uc744 \uacc4\uc18d\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\ub3c4 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc9c0\uc6d0 \ub355\ubd84\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611\uc5d0 \uc804\uc6b4\uc774 \uac10\ub3c4\ub294 \uac83\uc740, \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uac15\ub300\uad6d\uc73c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611\uc744 \uc790\uae30 \ub73b\ub300\ub85c \uad00\ub9ac\ud560 \uc218 \uc5c6\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc774\ucc98\ub7fc \uc138 \uacf3 \ud654\uc57d\uace0\ub294 \ubaa8\ub450 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc \ubc00\uc811\ud55c \uad00\uacc4\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ubb34\ub825\uc744 \ub3d9\uc6d0\ud558\uc5ec \ub300\ub9cc\uacfc\uc758 \ud1b5\uc77c\uc744 \uc2dc\ub3c4\ud560 \uac83\uc778\uac00? \uc774 \ubb38\uc81c\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uad00\uacc4\ub098 \uc911\u00b7\ub300\ub9cc \uad00\uacc4\ubfd0\ub9cc \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ub3d9\uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc804\uccb4, \ub098\uc544\uac00\uc11c\ub294 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc5d0 \uc2ec\ub300\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc911\ub300 \uc0ac\uc548\uc774\ub2e4. \ud55c\uad6d\uacfc \ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc601\ud5a5\uc740 \ub9d0\ud560 \ud544\uc694\ub3c4 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \uacb0\ub860\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9d0\ud558\uba74, \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4\uc5d0 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \ubb34\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uacf5\uaca9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4. \ub300\uc2e0 \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\ub9cc\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc744 \uc800\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uac1c\uc785\uc744 \ucc28\ub2e8\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ub178\ub825\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>\uc911\uad6d\uacf5\uc0b0\ub2f9 <\/b><b>20<\/b><b>\ucc28 \ub2f9\ub300\ud68c\uc758 \ub300\ub9cc \uc815\ucc45<\/b><b>: \u2018<\/b><b>\ubb34\ub825 \ud1b5\uc77c<\/b><b>\u2019<\/b><b>\uc758 \uc900\ube44<\/b><b>?<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc911\uad6d\uacf5\uc0b0\ub2f9 20\ucc28 \ub2f9\ub300\ud68c(2022\ub144 10\uc6d4)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ub300\ub9cc\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud558\uc5ec \uba87 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \ud2b9\uc9d5\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. \uccab\uc9f8, \uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551\uc740 \uc815\uce58 \ubcf4\uace0\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \u2018\uc678\uc138\uc758 \uac1c\uc785\uc5d0 \ub2e8\ud638\ud788 \ubc18\ub300\ud55c\ub2e4\u2019\ub77c\uace0 \ub300\ub0b4\uc678\uc5d0 \ucc9c\uba85\ud588\ub2e4. \ub458\uc9f8, \u2018\uc678\ubd80 \uac04\uc12d \uc138\ub825\u2019\uacfc \u2018\ub300\ub9cc \ub3c5\ub9bd \uc138\ub825\u2019\uc744 \ub300\uc0c1\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ub2e8\uc11c\ub97c \ub2ec\uc558\uc9c0\ub9cc, \ub300\ub9cc \ud1b5\uc77c\uc744 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub77c\uba74 \ubb34\ub825 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ub3c4 \ubd88\uc0ac\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uac15\uc870\ud588\ub2e4. \ub354 \ub098\uc544\uac00 \uc774\ub97c \ubc95\uc81c\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 &lt;\ub2f9\ud5cc(\u9ee8\u7ae0)&gt; \uc218\uc815\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574, \u201c\uc77c\uad6d\uc591\uc81c(\u4e00\u570b\u5169\u5236)\ub97c \uacac\uc9c0\ud558\uace0, \ub300\ub9cc \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc744 \uad73\uac74\ud788 \ubc18\ub300 \ubc0f \uc5b5\uc81c\ud55c\ub2e4\u201d\ub77c\ub294 \ubb38\uad6c\ub97c \ucd94\uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\ub85c\uc368 \uacf5\uc0b0\ub2f9 \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \ub300\ub9cc \ud1b5\uc77c\uc744 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ubb34\ub825\ub3c4 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc810\uc744 \uae30\uc815\uc0ac\uc2e4\ub85c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc0ac\uc2e4 \uad6d\uac00 \ucc28\uc6d0\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\ub9cc \ud1b5\uc77c\uc744 \uc704\ud574 \ubb34\ub825\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc9c0\ub97c \uc624\ub798\uc804\uc5d0 \ubc95\uc81c\ud654\ud588\ub2e4. 2005\ub144\uc5d0 \uc81c\uc815\ub41c &lt;\ubc18\uad6d\uac00\ubd84\uc5f4\ubc95(\u53cd\u5206\uf9a0\u570b\u5bb6\u6cd5)&gt;\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc138 \uac00\uc9c0 \uacbd\uc6b0\uc5d0 \ubb34\ub825\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \ud55c\ub2e4. \uccab\uc9f8, \u2018\ub300\ub9cc \ub3c5\ub9bd \uc138\ub825\uc774 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \uba85\uc758\ub098 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\ub9cc\uc758 \ubd84\ub9ac \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc744 \uc870\uc7a5\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0\u2019\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub300\ub9cc \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc778 \ub3c5\ub9bd \uc120\uc5b8\uc744 \uc5fc\ub450\uc5d0 \ub454 \uc870\ud56d\uc774\ub2e4. \ub458\uc9f8, \u2018\ub300\ub9cc\uc774 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc \ubd84\ub9ac\ub418\ub294 \uc911\ub300 \uc0ac\uac74\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0\u2019\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac00\uc9c0\uac00 \ud3ec\ud568\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub294\ub370, \ub300\ub9cc\uad70\uacfc \ubbf8\uad70\uc774 \ud569\ub3d9 \uad70\uc0ac\ud6c8\ub828\uc744 \uc804\uac1c\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uc14b\uc9f8, \u2018\ud3c9\ud654\ud1b5\uc77c\uc758 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \uc0c1\uc2e4\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0\u2019\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc560\ub9e4\ud55c \uc870\ud56d\uc73c\ub85c \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc790\uccb4 \ud310\ub2e8\uc73c\ub85c \ubb34\ub825\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud55c \ud6c4\uc5d0 \uadf8\uac83\uc744 \uc815\ub2f9\ud654\ud560 \ubaa9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uac00\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcfc \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ub9c8\uc9c0\ub9c9\uc73c\ub85c, \uc815\uce58 \ubcf4\uace0\uc5d0\ub294 \ub300\ub9cc \ud1b5\uc77c\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \ub300\uc751 \ubc29\uce68\ub3c4 \ud3ec\ud568\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud558\ub098\ub294 \uc778\ubbfc\ud574\ubc29\uad70 \ucc3d\uad70 100\uc8fc\ub144\uc774 \ub418\ub294 \u20182027\ub144\uc5d0 \ubd84\ud22c \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc2e4\ud604\u2019\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc8fc\uc7a5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \uad70 \ud604\ub300\ud654\uc758 3\ub2e8\uacc4 \ubaa9\ud45c \uc911 1\ub2e8\uacc4 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \ub9d0\ud55c \uac83\uc77c \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, 2027\ub144\uae4c\uc9c0 \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \ubb34\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \ud1b5\uc77c\ud560 \uc900\ube44\ub97c \uc644\uc218\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub97c \uc554\uc2dc\ud55c \uac83\uc77c \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \uad6d\ub0b4\uc678\uc758 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c\uc640 \uad70 \uad00\uacc4\uc790\ub4e4\uc740 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 2027\ub144 \uc774\uc804\uc5d0 \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \ubb34\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \ud1b5\uc77c\ud560 \uad70\uc0ac \ub2a5\ub825\uc744 \uac16\ucd9c \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud574\uc654\ub2e4. \ub9cc\uc57d \uc774\uac83\uc774 \uc0ac\uc2e4\uc774\ub77c\uba74, 2027\ub144\uc740 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ub9cc \ubb34\ub825 \ud1b5\uc77c\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ud574\uc11c \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud574\uc57c \ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc810\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ub2e4\ub978 \ud558\ub098\ub294 \u2018\uac15\ub300\ud55c \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uc5b5\uc81c \ub2a5\ub825(\u6230\u7565\u5a01\u61fe\u80fd\u529b) \uccb4\uacc4\u2019\ub97c \uc870\uc131\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc8fc\uc7a5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub294 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc804\ub7b5\ud575\ubb34\uae30\ub97c \ud655\uc7a5\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \ubc29\uce68\uc73c\ub85c, \uc774\ubbf8 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub358 \uc77c\uc744 \uc815\uce58 \ubcf4\uace0 \ud615\uc2dd\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uacf5\uc2dd\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ubbf8 \uad6d\ubc29\ubd80\uac00 2022\ub144\uc5d0 \uc758\ud68c\uc5d0 \uc81c\ucd9c\ud55c \uc911\uad6d \uad70\uc0ac\ub825 \ubcf4\uace0\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74, \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ud604\uc7ac 400\uac1c \uc815\ub3c4\uc758 \ud575\ud0c4\ub450\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294\ub370 2035\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \uadf8\uac83\uc774 1,500\uac1c\ub85c \uc99d\uac00\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub978 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub0b4 \ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 2027\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 700\uac1c, 2030\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 1,000\uac1c\uc758 \ud575\ud0c4\ub450\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ud588\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc774 \uc2dc\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uacf5\uc0b0\ub2f9\uc774 \ub2f9\ub300\ud68c\ub77c\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc815\uce58\ud589\uc0ac\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc804\ub7b5\ud575\ubb34\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5 \ubc29\uce68\uc744 \uacf5\uc2dd\ud654\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uc6b0\uc5f0\uc774 \uc544\ub2c8\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \uce68\uacf5\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \uac1c\uc785\ud560\uc9c0\ub294 \uc54c \uc218 \uc5c6\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \ub300\ub9cc\uc774 \uac00\uc9c0\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uac00\uce58, \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ud328\uad8c \uc720\uc9c0 \ud544\uc694\uc131 \ub4f1\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub54c, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uad70\uc0ac\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uac1c\uc785\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ubd84\uba85\ud788 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc14\uc774\ub4e0 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc774 2021\ub144\uacfc 2022\ub144\uc5d0 \ubaa8\ub450 \ub124 \ucc28\ub840\uc5d0 \uac78\uccd0 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc544\ubb34\ub7f0 \ub3c4\ubc1c \uc694\uc18c\uac00 \uc5c6\ub294\ub370\ub3c4 \uce68\uacf5\ud560 \uacbd\uc6b0 \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \ubc29\uc5b4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uac1c\uc785\ud558\uaca0\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud55c \uac83\uc740 \uc774\ub7f0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ubc29\uce68\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc900\ub2e4. \ubb3c\ub860 \ubc14\uc774\ub4e0 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc758 \ubc1c\uc5b8 \uc9c1\ud6c4\uc5d0 \ubc31\uc545\uad00\uc774\ub098 \uad6d\ubb34\ubd80\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \u2018\ud558\ub098\uc758 \uc911\uad6d(one China)\u2019 \uc815\ucc45\uc740 \ubcc0\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc558\ub2e4\uace0 \ud574\uba85\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc \ub9d0\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ubb34\ub825\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud574\uc11c\ub77c\ub3c4 \ub300\ub9cc\uacfc \ud1b5\uc77c\ud560 \uc0dd\uac01\uc774\ub77c\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac\uac1c\uc785\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ub300\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ucd5c\ub2e8 \uc2dc\uac04\uc5d0 \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \uc815\ubcf5\ud558\uc5ec \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uac1c\uc785\ud560 \uc5ec\uc9c0\ub97c \uc8fc\uc9c0 \uc54a\uaca0\ub2e4\ub294 \u2018\uc18d\uc804\uc18d\uacb0 \uc804\ub7b5\u2019\uc740 \uadf8\ub7f0 \ub300\ube44\ucc45 \uc911\uc758 \ud558\ub098\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ud604\uc7ac \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac\ub825\uacfc \ub300\ub9cc\uc758 \ub300\uc751 \ub2a5\ub825 \ub4f1\uc744 \uace0\ub824\ud560 \ub54c, \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc774\ub7f0 \ubc29\uc2dd\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \uc810\ub839\ud558\uae30\ub294 \uc27d\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac\uac1c\uc785\uc744 \uc6d0\ucc9c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucc28\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \ub300\ucc45\uc744 \uc900\ube44\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc804\ub7b5\ud575\ubb34\uae30 \ud655\uc7a5 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \ubc14\ub85c \uadf8\uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc989 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ub9de\uc124 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \ud575\uc804\ub825\uc744 \uad6c\ucd95\ud558\uc5ec \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uad70\ub300\ub97c \ud30c\uacac\ud560 \uc5c4\ub450\ub3c4 \ub0bc \uc218 \uc5c6\ub3c4\ub85d \ub9cc\ub4e0\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d \ub0b4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc9c0\uae08\uae4c\uc9c0 \uace0\uc218\ud574\uc654\ub358 \u2018\ud575 \uc120\uc81c \ubd88\uc0ac\uc6a9(no first use)\u2019 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \u2018\uc81c\ud55c \uc5b5\uc81c(limited deterrence)\u2019 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ud3d0\uae30\ud558\uace0 \ub300\uc2e0 \ubbf8\uad6d\ucc98\ub7fc \u2018\uc120\uc81c \ud0c0\uaca9(preemptive strike)\u2019 \uc804\ub7b5\uacfc \u2018\ucd5c\ub300 \uc5b5\uc81c(maximum deterrence)\u2019 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ucc44\ud0dd\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \uc8fc\uc7a5\uc774 \uc81c\uae30\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc740 \uc774 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uac00 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098\ub97c \uce68\uacf5\ud588\uc744 \ub54c, \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ub098\ud1a0 \ud68c\uc6d0\uad6d\uc774 \uc9c1\uc811 \uad70\ub300\ub97c \ud30c\uacac\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uc2e0 \ubb34\uae30\uc640 \uc7a5\ube44 \uc81c\uacf5 \ub4f1 \uad70\uc218 \uc9c0\uc6d0\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc740 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc774\ub7f0 \ud310\ub2e8\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\ub294 \uadfc\uac70\uac00 \ub418\uc5c8\uc744 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ud604\uc7ac \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\ub294 \uac01\uac01 5,000\uac1c\uc640 6,000\uac1c \uc815\ub3c4\uc758 \ud575\ud0c4\ub450\ub97c \ubcf4\uc720\ud558\uace0 \uc788\uace0, \uc774\ub7f0 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc640\uc758 \ud575\uc804\uc7c1\uc744 \uac01\uc624\ud574\uc57c\ub9cc \uad70\ub300\ub97c \ud30c\uacac\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uc774\uc720\ub85c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uad70\uc218 \uc9c0\uc6d0\uc5d0 \uadf8\uce58\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ub300\ub9cc\uc740 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098\uc640 \ub2ec\ub9ac \uc0ac\uba74\uc774 \ubc14\ub2e4\ub85c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2f8\uc5ec \uc788\uae30\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc720\uc0ac\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubb34\uae30\uc640 \uc7a5\ube44\ub97c \uc9c0\uc6d0\ud558\uae30\ub3c4 \uc27d\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uacf5\uc911\uacfc \ud574\uc0c1 \ubaa8\ub450\ub97c \ubd09\uc1c4\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac\uac1c\uc785\uc740 \uace7 \uc8fc\uc77c\ubbf8\uad70\uacfc \uc8fc\ud55c\ubbf8\uad70 \ub4f1 \ubbf8\uad70 \ud30c\uacac\uc744 \uc758\ubbf8\ud55c\ub2e4. \ub530\ub77c\uc11c \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\ucc98\ub7fc \ud575\uc804\ub825\uc744 \ub300\ud3ed \ud655\uc7a5\ud55c\ub2e4\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad70\ub300 \ud30c\uacac\uc744 \uc6d0\ucc9c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub9c9\uc744 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \ub17c\ub9ac\uac00 \uac00\ub2a5\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>\uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551 \uc9d1\uad8c <\/b><b>3<\/b><b>\uae30\uc758 <\/b><b>\u2018<\/b><b>\ubb34\ub825 \ud1b5\uc77c<\/b><b>\u2019 <\/b><b>\uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740<\/b><b>?<\/b><\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_947\" style=\"width: 310px\" class=\"wp-caption alignleft\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-947\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-947\" src=\"http:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/98_image01-300x289.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"289\" srcset=\"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/98_image01-300x289.png 300w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/98_image01-151x146.png 151w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/98_image01-50x48.png 50w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/98_image01-78x75.png 78w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/98_image01.png 480w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-947\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">&lt;\uadf8\ub9bc&gt; \uc911\uad6d\uacfc \ub300\ub9cc\uc758 \uc9c0\ubc30 \uc601\ud1a0<br \/>\ucd9c\ucc98: Wikipedia<\/p><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ud604\uc7ac \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcfc \ub54c \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4\uc5d0 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ubb34\ub825\uc744 \ub3d9\uc6d0\ud558\uc5ec \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \uc810\ub839\ud558\ub824\uace0 \uc2dc\ub3c4\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4. \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \uc2e0\uc18d\ud558\uac8c \uc810\ub839\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744 \uc815\ub3c4\uc758 \uc7ac\ub798\uc2dd \uad70\uc0ac\ub825\uacfc \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac\uac1c\uc785\uc744 \ucc28\ub2e8\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\uc744 \uc815\ub3c4\uc758 \ud575\uc804\ub825\uc744 \uc544\uc9c1 \uac16\ucd94\uc9c0 \ubabb\ud588\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \ub354\ud574 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uc9c1\uba74\ud55c \uad6d\ub0b4\uc678\uc801 \ub3c4\uc804 \uacfc\uc81c\ub97c \ud574\uacb0\ud558\uc5ec 2035\ub144\uc5d0\ub294 \u2018\uc0ac\ud68c\uc8fc\uc758 \ud604\ub300\ud654\ub97c \uae30\ubcf8\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc2e4\ud604\u2019\ud558\uace0, 2050\ub144 \ubb34\ub835\uc5d0\ub294 \u2018\ud604\ub300\ud654\ub41c \uc0ac\ud68c\uc8fc\uc758 \uac15\uad6d\uc744 \uc644\uc131\u2019\ud55c\ub2e4\ub294 \u2018\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uafc8(\u4e2d\u570b\u5922)\u2019\uc744 \uc2e4\ud604\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \ub2f9\ubd84\uac04 \uacbd\uc81c\ubc1c\uc804\uacfc \uc0ac\ud68c\uc548\uc815\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ub825\ud574\uc57c\ub9cc \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc123\ubd80\ub978 \ubb34\ub825 \ub3d9\uc6d0\uc740 \uad6d\uc81c\uc801 \uace0\ub9bd, \uad6d\ub825 \ub0ad\ube44, \uacbd\uc81c\ubc1c\uc804 \uc88c\uc808 \ub4f1 \ub9c9\ub300\ud55c \uc190\ud574\uac00 \ub530\ub974\ub294, \uadf8\ub798\uc11c \u2018\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uafc8\u2019 \uc2e4\ud604\uc744 \ud3ec\uae30\ud574\uc57c\ub9cc \ud560\uc9c0\ub3c4 \ubaa8\ub974\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\ucc9c\ub9cc\ud55c \uc815\ucc45\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ub300\uc2e0 \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ub300\ub9cc\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc744 \ub9c9\uace0 \ud1b5\uc77c\uc744 \uc704\ud55c \ud611\uc0c1 \ud0c1\uc790\uc5d0 \ub04c\uc5b4\ub0b4\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac\uac1c\uc785 \uc2dc\ub3c4\ub97c \ucc28\ub2e8\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574, \uad70\uc0ac\ub825 \uc99d\uac15\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \u2018\ub300\uc548 \uc804\ub7b5(alternative strategy)\u2019\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uc2ec\ub9ac\uc804\uacfc \uc5ec\ub860\uc804\uc744 \ub3d9\ubc18\ud55c \uc815\uce58\uc804(political warfare)\uc758 \uc804\uac1c, \uc815\ubcf4\uc804\uacfc \uc0ac\uc774\ubc84 \uc791\uc804\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud558\ub294 \ud575\ubb34\uae30 \uc0ac\uc6a9 \uc704\ud611(nuclear blackmail), \uacf5\uc911\uacfc \ud574\uc0c1 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \uace0\ub9bd\uc2dc\ud0a4\ub294 \uc555\ubc15 \uc804\ub7b5(pressure campaign), \ub300\ub9cc \uc8fc\ubcc0 \ud574\uc5ed\uc744 \uc811\uadfc \uae08\uc9c0 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc73c\ub85c \uc124\uc815\ud558\uc5ec \ub300\ub9cc\uc758 \uc678\ubd80\uc640\uc758 \uad50\ub958\ub97c \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ucc28\ub2e8\ud558\ub294 \ubc30\uc81c \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc804\ub7b5(exclusion zone strategy), \uae34\uae09 \uc0c1\ud669 \ubc1c\uc0dd \uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c \uacf5\uaca9\uacfc \uacf5\uc911 \ud3ed\uaca9\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \ub300\ub9cc \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80\uc640 \ubbfc\uc911\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \uaebe\ub294 \uc804\ub7b5(air and missile campaign) \ub4f1\uc774 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ub7f0 \ub300\uc548 \uc804\ub7b5\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c\uc11c\ub294 \uc804\uba74\uc801\uc778 \uad70\uc0ac \ucda9\ub3cc\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8 \uc694\uc18c\ub97c \uc548\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac70\ub300\ud55c \uba39\uad6c\ub984\uc774 \uc9d9\uac8c \ub4dc\ub9ac\uc6cc\uc838 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ub9d0\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][vc_column_text]<span style=\"color: #3366ff;\">* \uc774 \uae00\uc758 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc740 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c\ub098 \uc11c\uc6b8\ub300\uc758 \uacac\ud574\uc640 \ub2e4\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/3&#8243;][vc_acf field_group=&#8221;99&#8243; field_from_99=&#8221;field_606aa715c30de&#8221; align=&#8221;right&#8221;][vc_single_image source=&#8221;featured_image&#8221; img_size=&#8221;full&#8221; alignment=&#8221;center&#8221; style=&#8221;vc_box_border&#8221; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1617603439113{margin-top: -20px !important;}&#8221;][vc_btn title=&#8221;PDF Download&#8221; style=&#8221;flat&#8221; shape=&#8221;square&#8221; color=&#8221;primary&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; i_icon_fontawesome=&#8221;fas fa-file-pdf&#8221; button_block=&#8221;true&#8221; add_icon=&#8221;true&#8221; link=&#8221;url:https%3A%2F%2Fsnuac.snu.ac.kr%2F2015_snuac%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2015%2F07%2F%EC%95%84%EC%8B%9C%EC%95%84%EB%B8%8C%EB%A6%AC%ED%94%84_1-98.pdf|target:_blank&#8221; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1672896362601{margin-top: -30px !important;}&#8221;][vc_column_text]<strong>Tag:<br \/>\n<\/strong>\uc911\uad6d,\ub300\ub9cc,\ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611,\ubbf8\uc911\uacbd\uc7c1,\uc591\uc548\ubb38\uc81c,\uc548\ubcf4\uc704\uae30[\/vc_column_text][vc_row_inner content_placement=&#8221;middle&#8221; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1642037464047{margin-right: 0px !important;margin-left: 0px !important;background-color: #eaeaea !important;}&#8221;][vc_column_inner][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;\uc774 \uae00\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc790\ub8cc&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h2|font_size:18|text_align:left&#8221;][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>\uc774\uc885\uad6c (2022). \u201c\ub300\ub9cc\ubb38\uc81c\uc640 \ubbf8\uc911 \ucda9\ub3cc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131.\u201d \u300eEAI \uc2a4\ud398\uc15c\ub9ac\ud3ec\ud2b8\u300f 12\uc6d4 15\uc77c, \ub3d9\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0. <a href=\"http:\/\/www.eai.or.kr\/new\/ko\/pub\/view.asp?intSeq=21637&amp;board=kor_special&amp;keyword_option=&amp;keyword=&amp;more=\">http:\/\/www.eai.or.kr\/<\/a><\/li>\n<li>\uc7a5\uc601\ud76c (2022). \u201c\ubc14\uc774\ub4e0 \uc2dc\uae30 \uc591\uc548\uad00\uacc4\uc758 \uc9c0\uc18d\uacfc \ubcc0\ud654: \ub300\ub9cc\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uac00\uce58 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uacfc \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ubaa8\ud638\uc131 2.0.\u201d \uad6d\ub9bd\uc678\uad50\uc6d0 \uc678\uad50\uc548\ubcf4\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ifans.go.kr\/knda\/com\/fileupload\/FileDownloadView.do?storgeId=c61b04e5-0182-4c75-ad21-828ecacfb855&amp;uploadId=8200998131616087&amp;fileSn=1\">https:\/\/www.ifans.go.kr\/<\/a><\/li>\n<li>Jensen, Benjamin, Adrian Bogart, and Riley McCabe (2022). \u201cWhat If&#8230; Alternatives to a Chinese Military Invasion of Taiwan.\u201d <i>CSIS<\/i> (October 7). <a href=\"https:\/\/www.csis.org\/analysis\/what-if-alternatives-chinese-military-invasion-taiwan\">https:\/\/www.csis.org\/<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner content_placement=&#8221;middle&#8221; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1617604888422{margin-top: 30px !important;margin-right: 0px !important;margin-left: 0px !important;background-color: #eaeaea !important;}&#8221;][vc_column_inner][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;\uc800\uc790\uc18c\uac1c&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h2|font_size:18|text_align:left&#8221;][vc_column_text]<strong>\uc870\uc601\ub0a8<\/strong>(yncho@snu.ac.kr)<\/p>\n<p>\ud604) \uc11c\uc6b8\ub300\ud559\uad50 \uad6d\uc81c\ub300\ud559\uc6d0 \uad50\uc218(\ubd80\uc6d0\uc7a5)<br \/>\n\uc804) \ubd81\uacbd\ub300\ud559 \ud604\ub300\uc911\uad6d\uc5f0\uad6c\uc13c\ud130 \uac1d\uc6d0 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0, \ub0a8\uac1c\ub300\ud559 \uc815\uce58\ud589\uc815\ud559\uacfc \ubc29\ubb38\ud559\uc790, \ud558\ubc84\ub4dc-\uc60c\uce6d\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c \ubc29\ubb38\ud559\uc790<\/p>\n<p><b>\uc8fc\uc694 \uc800\uc11c<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u300e\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ud1b5\uce58 \uccb4\uc81c 1: \uacf5\uc0b0\ub2f9 \uc601\ub3c4 \uccb4\uc81c\u300f (21\uc138\uae30\ubd81\uc2a4, 2022).<br \/>\n\u300e\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ud1b5\uce58 \uccb4\uc81c 2: \uacf5\uc0b0\ub2f9 \ud1b5\uc81c \uae30\uc81c\u300f (21\uc138\uae30\ubd81\uc2a4, 2022).<br \/>\n\u300e\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc5d8\ub9ac\ud2b8 \uc815\uce58: \ub9c8\uc624\uca4c\ub465\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551\uae4c\uc9c0\u300f (\ubbfc\uc74c\uc0ac, 2019).[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\ub9cc \uacf5\uaca9 \ubb38\uc81c\ub294 \ub2e8\uc21c\ud788 \ubbf8\u00b7\uc911 \uad00\uacc4\ub098 \uc911\u00b7\ub300\ub9cc \uad00\uacc4\ubfd0\ub9cc \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c \ub3d9\uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc804\uccb4, \ub098\uc544\uac00\uc11c\ub294 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4\uc5d0 \uc2ec\ub300\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\uce58\ub294 \uc911\ub300 \uc0ac\uc548\uc774\ub2e4. \ubcf8 \uae00\uc740 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04 \ub0b4\uc5d0 \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \ub300\ub9cc\uc744 \ubb34\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uacf5\uaca9\ud560 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \ud06c\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub2e4\uace0 \uc8fc\uc7a5\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8 \uc774\uc720\ub294 \uc123\ubd80\ub978 \ubb34\ub825 \ub3d9\uc6d0\uc740 \uad6d\uc81c\uc801 \uace0\ub9bd, \uad6d\ub825 \ub0ad\ube44, \uacbd\uc81c\ubc1c\uc804 \uc88c\uc808 \ub4f1 \ub9c9\ub300\ud55c \uc190\ud574\uac00 \ub530\ub974\ub294, \u2018\uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uafc8\u2019 \uc2e4\ud604\uc744 \ud3ec\uae30\ud574\uc57c\ub9cc \ud560\uc9c0\ub3c4 \ubaa8\ub974\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\ucc9c\ub9cc\ud55c \uc815\ucc45\uc774\uae30 \ub54c\ubb38\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc218\ud589 \ub300\uc2e0\uc5d0 \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \ub300\ub9cc\uc758 \ub3c5\ub9bd\uc744 \uc800\uc9c0\ud558\uace0 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uac1c\uc785\uc744 \ucc28\ub2e8\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uad70\uc0ac\ub825 \uc99d\uac15\uacfc \ud568\uaed8 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \u2018\ub300\uc548 \uc804\ub7b5(alternative strategy)\u2019\uc744 \uc0ac\uc6a9\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7f0 \uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uac70\ub300\ud55c \uba39\uad6c\ub984\uc774 \uc9d9\uac8c \ub4dc\ub9ac\uc6cc\uc838 \uc788\ub2e4. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":922,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[402,326,7,404,403,34],"class_list":["post-946","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asia-brief","tag-402","tag-326","tag-7","tag-404","tag-403","tag-34"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/946","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=946"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/946\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":992,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/946\/revisions\/992"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/922"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=946"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=946"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=946"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}