{"id":932,"date":"2023-01-19T08:29:51","date_gmt":"2023-01-18T23:29:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/?p=932"},"modified":"2023-01-10T09:53:58","modified_gmt":"2023-01-10T00:53:58","slug":"%ed%8a%b9%ec%a7%91-2023%eb%85%84-%ec%95%84%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84-%ec%a0%95%ec%84%b8%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d3%eb%af%b8%ec%a4%91-%ea%b0%88%eb%93%b1%ea%b3%bc-%ec%8b%a0-%ea%b5%ad%ec%a0%9c%ec%a7%88%ec%84%9c","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/?p=932","title":{"rendered":"\ud2b9\uc9d1: 2023\ub144 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc815\uc138\uc804\ub9dd(3)<br>\ubbf8\uc911 \uac08\ub4f1\uacfc \uc2e0 \uad6d\uc81c\uc9c8\uc11c"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row gap=&#8221;20&#8243;][vc_column width=&#8221;2\/3&#8243;][vc_acf field_group=&#8221;99&#8243; field_from_99=&#8221;field_606aa6f1c30dd&#8221; align=&#8221;right&#8221;][vc_row_inner content_placement=&#8221;middle&#8221; gap=&#8221;20&#8243; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1617603431068{margin-top: -20px !important;background-color: #d6e6eb !important;}&#8221;][vc_column_inner][vc_column_text css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1672893425240{margin-top: -20px !important;margin-bottom: 20px !important;}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ubbf8\uc911 \uacbd\uc7c1\uacfc \uac08\ub4f1\uc740 \ubc14\uc774\ub4e0 \uc815\ubd80 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc2ec\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uac01\uacc4\uc758 \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uc218\ubc18\ud55c \uac01\uc885 \uc815\uce58\u00b7\uacbd\uc81c\u00b7\uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \uc704\uae30\ub97c \uacbd\uace0\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ud798\uaca8\ub8e8\uae30\ub294 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc758 \uc2b9\ud328\ub85c \uadc0\uacb0\ub418\uae30\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \ud5a5\ud6c4 20~30\ub144\uac04 \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc2b9\uc790\uc758 \uad6c\ubd84\uc774 \uc5c6\ub294 \ud63c\ub780\uacfc \uc704\uae30\uc758 \uad6d\uc81c\uc9c8\uc11c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4. \uc815\uce58\uc774\ub150\uc774\ub098 \uc774\ub370\uc62c\ub85c\uae30, \ub300\uc758\uba85\ubd84\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uac01\uad6d\uc774 \uc790\uc2e0\uc758 \uad6d\uc775\uc744 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0b4\uace0 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 19\uc138\uae30\uc2dd \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \ud604\uc2e4\uc8fc\uc758 \uad6d\uc81c\uc815\uce58\uc758 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774 \uc7ac\ud604\ub418\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\uc640 \uac19\uc740 \uad6d\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ud55c\uad6d\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc911\uacac\uad6d\uc740 \uc2e0\uc911\ud558\uac8c \uc704\uae30\ub97c \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub418, \ud3c9\ud654\uc640 \ube44\ud575\ud654\ub97c \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \ub2f4\ub300\ud55c \ub178\ub825\uc5d0 \ub098\uc11c\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>\uc2ec\ud654\ud558\ub294 \ubbf8\uc911 \uacbd\uc7c1\uacfc \uc591\uad6d\uc758 \ub300\uc751<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc5d0\uc11c \ubcf8\uaca9 \uc2dc\uc791\ub41c \ubbf8\uc911 \uacbd\uc7c1\uacfc \uac08\ub4f1\uc740 \ubc14\uc774\ub4e0 \uc815\ubd80 \ub4e4\uc5b4 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc2ec\ud654\ub418\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ubc14\uc774\ub4e0 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\ub294 \uc791\ub144\uc5d0 \ubc1c\ud45c\ud55c \uad6d\uac00\uc548\ubcf4 \uc804\ub7b5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uad6d\uc744 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub3c4\uc804\uc73c\ub85c \uaddc\uc815\ud558\uc600\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \ubb3c\ub860 \uc678\uad50, \uad70\uc0ac, \uae30\uc220 \uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc5d0 \ub9de\uc124 \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc720\uc77c\ud55c \uacbd\uc7c1\uc790\uc774\uba70, \uc790\uad6d\uc5d0 \uc720\ub9ac\ud55c \uc138\uacc4\uc9c8\uc11c\ub97c \uc7ac\ud3b8\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc758\ub3c4\uc640 \ub2a5\ub825\uc774 \ud5a5\uc0c1\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc911\uad6d\uc5d0 \ub9de\uc11c\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc740 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825 \uc81c\uace0\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \uad6d\ub0b4 \ud22c\uc790(invest), \ub3d9\ub9f9 \ubc0f \uc8fc\ubcc0\uad6d\ub4e4\uacfc\uc758 \ub300\uc911\uad6d \uc815\ucc45 \uc870\uc728(align), \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 21\uc138\uae30 \ucca8\ub2e8\uae30\uc220\uacfc \ud601\uc2e0\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc6b0\uc138\ud55c \uacbd\uc7c1 (outcompete)\uc73c\ub85c \uc694\uc57d\ub41c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ud5a5\ud6c4 10\ub144\uc774 \uadf8 \uc2b9\ud328\ub97c \uac00\ub984\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud55c\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774\ub098 \uc2e0\ub0c9\uc804\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc73c\uba70 \ub300\uc2e0 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \ud3c9\ud654\uc801 \uacf5\uc874\uc744 \ud76c\ub9dd\ud558\uba70 \uc9c0\uad6c\uc801 \uc704\uae30\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ud611\ub825\uacfc \uacf5\ub3d9 \ub300\uc751\uc744 \uc81c\uc2dc\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ud55c\ud3b8 \uc911\ud654\ubbfc\uc871\uc758 \ucd5c\uac15\ub300\uad6d \ubd80\ud765\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551 \uc815\ubd80\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc911\uad6d \uacf5\uc0b0\ub2f9 \uccb4\uc81c\ub97c \ubd80\uc778\ud558\uba70 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ubd80\uc0c1\uc744 \ub9c9\uc73c\ub824 \ud55c\ub2e4\uace0 \uc758\uc2ec\ud55c\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ud64d\ucf69\uc774\ub098 \ub300\ub9cc \ub4f1\uc758 \ub0b4\uc815 \ubb38\uc81c\uc5d0 \uac04\uc12d\ud558\ub294 \uc678\ubd80 \uc138\ub825\uc740 \uba38\ub9ac\uac00 \uae68\uc838 \ud53c\ub97c \ud758\ub9b4 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \uac15\ub825\ud558\uac8c \uacbd\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 10\uc6d4 \uc5f4\ub9b0 20\ucc28 \uacf5\uc0b0\ub2f9 \uc804\uad6d\ub300\ud68c\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2dc \uc8fc\uc11d\uc774 \uc7ac\uc5f0\uc784\uc744 \ubd88\uc0ac\ud558\uba70 \ub300\ub9cc\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubb34\ub825 \uc0ac\uc6a9\uc744 \ud3ec\ud568\ud55c \uc8fc\uad8c \uc218\ud638 \uc758\uc9c0\ub97c \ucc9c\uba85\ud55c \ubc30\uacbd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>\uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ucc28\uc6d0\uc758 \uc815\uce58<\/b><b>\u00b7<\/b><b>\uacbd\uc81c<\/b><b>\u00b7<\/b><b>\uad70\uc0ac\uc801 \uc704\uae30\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uacbd\uace0<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2015\ub144 \ud558\ubc84\ub4dc \ub300\ud559\uc758 \uadf8\ub798\ud568 \uc568\ub9ac\uc2a8(Graham T. Allison) \uad50\uc218\ub294 \uace0\ub300 \uc544\ud14c\ub124\uc640 \uc2a4\ud30c\ub974\ud0c0\uc758 \uc804\uc7c1\uc744 \uae30\uc220\ud55c \uc5ed\uc0ac\uac00 \ud22c\ud0a4\ub514\ub370\uc2a4\ub97c \uc778\uc6a9\ud558\uba70 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ubd80\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ub450\ub824\uc6c0\uc774 \uc591\uad6d \uac04 \uc804\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uacbd\uace0\ud558\uc600\ub2e4. \uc138\uacc4\uc801\uc778 \ud22c\uc790\ud68c\uc0ac \ube0c\ub9ac\uc9c0\uc6cc\ud130 \uc5b4\uc18c\uc2dc\uc5d0\uce20 \ucc3d\uc5c5\uc790 \ub808\uc774 \ub2ec\ub9ac\uc624(Ray Dalio)\ub294 2\ucc28 \uc138\uacc4 \ub300\uc804 \uc774\ub798 \uc555\ub3c4\uc801\uc774\ub358 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud328\uad8c\uc774 \uadf8\ub3d9\uc548 \ub204\uc801\ub41c \uc7ac\uc815\uc801\uc790\uc640 \ube48\ubd80\uaca9\ucc28, \uadf8\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uadf9\uc2ec\ud55c \uc815\uce58 \ubd84\uc5f4\ub85c \uadfc\ubcf8\uc801\uc778 \uc704\uae30\uc5d0 \ucc98\ud574\uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud55c\ub2e4. \uc5ec\uae30\uc5d0 \uac15\ub825\ud55c \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ubd80\uc0c1\uc774 \uacb9\uce58\uba74\uc11c \ubbf8\uc911 \uac04 \ubb34\uc5ed\uc804\uc7c1, \uae30\uc220\uc804\uc7c1, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825 \uc804\uc7c1, \uc790\ubcf8\uacfc \uacbd\uc81c\uc804\uc7c1\uc774 \ud604\uc7ac \ubc8c\uc5b4\uc9c0\uace0 \uc788\uc73c\uba70 \uc885\uad6d\uc5d0\ub294 \uad70\uc0ac\uc804\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud55c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ud55c\ud3b8 \ubbf8\uad6d \ucd5c\ub300 \uc740\ud589 JP \ubaa8\uac04 \uccb4\uc774\uc2a4\uc758 \uc81c\uc774\ubbf8 \ub2e4\uc774\uba3c \ud68c\uc7a5\uc740 \ucd5c\uadfc \ub274\uc695 \ud0c0\uc784\uc2a4\uc640\uc758 \uc778\ud130\ubdf0\uc5d0\uc11c \ud0c8\ub0c9\uc804 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc9c0\ub09c 30\ub144\uac04 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud574\uc628 \uc138\uacc4\ud654\uac00 \ub05d\ub098\uace0 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uac12\uc2fc \uc784\uae08\uacfc \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\uc744 \ub454 \uc800\ubb3c\uac00 \uace0\uc131\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\ub300\uac00 \uc800\ubb3c\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c4\ub2e8\ud558\uc600\ub2e4. \uc2e4\uc81c\ub85c \ucf54\ub85c\ub098 \uc0ac\ud0dc \uc774\ud6c4 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc774 \uacbd\uc81c \uc548\ubcf4 \ub17c\ub9ac\ub85c \uc804\uc774\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \uc138\uacc4 \uacbd\uc81c\uac00 \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \uc7ac\ud3b8\uacfc \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5 \uc790\uad6d \uc720\uce58 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \ube14\ub85d\ud654\ud558\uace0 \uace0\ubb3c\uac00\uc640 \uacbd\uae30\uce68\uccb4 \ud639\uc740 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801 \uc800\uc131\uc7a5\uc758 \uc2dc\uae30\ub85c \uc9c4\uc785\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uc791\ub144 \ucd08 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud55c \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098 \uc804\uc7c1\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc545\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_933\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-933\" class=\"size-large wp-image-933\" src=\"http:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image01-1024x764.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"764\" srcset=\"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image01-1024x764.png 1024w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image01-300x224.png 300w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image01-768x573.png 768w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image01-196x146.png 196w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image01-50x37.png 50w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image01-100x75.png 100w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image01.png 1029w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-933\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>&lt;\uadf8\ub9bc 1&gt; \ubbf8\uc911 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc758 \uc7a5\uae30\ud654\uc640 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc138\uacc4\uc9c8\uc11c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc804\ub9dd<\/strong><br \/>\ucd9c\ucc98: <a href=\"https:\/\/cepr.org\/voxeu\">https:\/\/cepr.org\/<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>\uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\ub294 \uacbd\uc7c1\uacfc \ud63c\ub780\uc758 \uad6d\uc81c\uc9c8\uc11c<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uba74 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc138\uacc4\uc9c8\uc11c\ub294 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uac83\uc778\uac00? \ub2f9\uc7a5 \ubbf8\uc911 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc774 \ub2e8\uae30\uac04\uc5d0 \uacb0\ud310\ub0a0 \uae30\ubbf8\ub294 \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc7a5\uae30\uc801 \uad00\uc810\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uc704\ud611\uc744 \ubcf4\ub4ef\uc774 \uc911\uad6d\ub3c4 2050\ub144 \uc138\uacc4 \ucd5c\uace0\uad6d\uac00 \ub2ec\uc131\uc744 \ubaa9\ud45c\ub85c \uc7a5\uae30 \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub2e4\uc2dc \ub9d0\ud574 \ud5a5\ud6c4 20~30\ub144\uac04 \ubbf8\uc911 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub418\uba74\uc11c, \ub69c\ub837\ud55c \uc2b9\uc790\uc758 \uad6c\ubd84 \uc5c6\uc774 \ud63c\ub780\uacfc \uc704\uae30\uc758 \uc2dc\uae30\uac00 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uadf8\ub807\ub2e4\uace0 \ub0c9\uc804 \uc2dc\uae30\ucc98\ub7fc \ubbf8\uc911 \uc591\uadf9\uc744 \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uc774\ubd84\ubc95\uc801 \uc9c4\uc601\ub17c\ub9ac\uac00 \uc9c0\ubc30\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc774\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294\ub2e4. \ub300\uc2e0 \ubbf8\uc911\uacfc \ub098\uba38\uc9c0 \uc138\ub825 \ud639\uc740 \uad6d\uac00 \uac04\uc5d0 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uc774\ud569\uc9d1\uc0b0\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc11c\uc720\ub7fd\uacfc \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \ub3d9\ub9f9\uad6d\uc744 \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ubbfc\uc8fc\uc8fc\uc758 \uac00\uce58\uc5d0 \uae30\ubc18\uc744 \ub454 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uae30\uc220, \uacbd\uc81c \ube14\ub85d\uc744 \ud615\uc131\ud558\ub824 \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc911\uad6d \uc5ed\uc2dc \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc640 \uc774\ub780, \ubd81\ud55c \ub4f1 \uc790\uc2e0\uacfc \ube44\uc2b7\ud55c \uad8c\uc704\uc8fc\uc758 \uccb4\uc81c\uc640 \ub354\uc6b1 \uacb0\uc18d\ud558\ub294 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uacbd\uc81c\uc0ac\uc808\uc744 \uc774\ub04c\uace0 \uc911\uad6d\uc744 \ubc29\ubb38\ud55c \ub3c5\uc77c\uc758 \uc62c\ub77c\ud504 \uc204\uce20(Olaf Scholz) \ucd1d\ub9ac\ucc98\ub7fc \uc11c\ubc29\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc120\uc9c4\uad6d\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc774\ud574\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uade0\ud615 \uc678\uad50\ub97c \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ud55c\ud3b8 \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9, \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74, \uc911\ub0a8\ubbf8 \ub4f1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc804\ud1b5\uc801 \uce5c\ubbf8 \uad6d\uac00\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uad6c\uc560\ub97c \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ud3bc\uce58\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551 \uc8fc\uc11d\uc774 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\ub97c \uc804\uaca9 \ubc29\ubb38\ud558\uc5ec \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0\uc640 \uc778\ud504\ub77c \uac74\uc124 \ubd80\ubd84\uc5d0\uc11c \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \uacf5\uae09 \ubc0f \ud22c\uc790 \ub17c\uc758\ub97c \uac00\uc9c4 \uac83\uc740 \ub300\ud45c\uc801\uc778 \uc608\uc774\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd80 \ubcf4\ub3c4\ub300\ub85c \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514 \uc6d0\uc720\uc758 \uc704\uc548\ud654 \uacb0\uc81c\uac00 \ubcf8\uaca9\ud654\ub41c\ub2e4\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud328\uad8c\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ucd95\uc778 \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc804 \uc138\uacc4 \uae30\ucd95\ud1b5\ud654 \uc9c0\uc704\ub97c \ud754\ub4dc\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uacc4\uae30\uac00 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ud55c\ud3b8 \uc778\ub3c4, \uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544, \ud130\ud0a4, \ube0c\ub77c\uc9c8\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc138\ub825 \uad6d\uac00\uc640 \uc544\ud504\ub9ac\uce74\uc758 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc9c0\uc6d0\uad6d\ub4e4\uc740 \uc790\uc2e0\ub4e4\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uac00\uce58\ub97c \uc774\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ubbf8\uc911 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c \ud65c\ubc1c\ud55c \uc591\ub2e4\ub9ac \uc678\uad50\ub97c \ud3bc\uce58\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>\ud55c\uad6d \uc8fc\ub3c4\uc758 \uc2e0\uc911\ud55c \uc704\uae30\uad00\ub9ac\uc640 \ud3c9\ud654\ub97c \uc704\ud55c \ub2f4\ub300\ud55c \ub178\ub825\uc758 \ud544\uc694\uc131<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc624\ub298\ub0a0 \uad6d\uc81c\uc815\uce58\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ud328\uad8c\uc758 \uc0c1\ub300\uc801 \uc1e0\ud1f4 \uc18d\uc5d0 \uc815\uce58\uc774\ub150\uc774\ub098 \uc774\ub370\uc62c\ub85c\uae30, \ub300\uc758\uba85\ubd84\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc790\uc2e0\uc758 \uad6d\uc775\uc744 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0b4\uace0 \ucd94\uad6c\ud558\ub294 19\uc138\uae30\uc2dd \uc804\ud615\uc801\uc778 \ud604\uc2e4\uc8fc\uc758 \uad6d\uc81c\uc815\uce58\uc758 \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774 \uc7ac\ud604\ub418\ub294 \uc591\uc0c1\uc774\ub2e4. \uc601\uc6d0\ud55c \uc801\uc774\ub098 \ub3d9\uc9c0\ubcf4\ub2e4\ub294 \uc9c0\uc5ed\ubcc4 \uc138\ub825 \uad6c\ub3c4, \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc774\ud574\uad00\uacc4, \ud32c\ub354\ubbf9\uc774\ub098 \uae30\ud6c4\ubcc0\ud654 \uac19\uc740 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc704\uae30\uc5d0 \ub530\ub77c \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uad6d\uac00\uc640 \uc138\ub825 \uac04 \uacbd\uc7c1, \uac08\ub4f1, \ud611\ub825\uc758 \ubcf5\ud569\uc801 \ud569\uc885\uc5f0\ud6a1\uc774 \ub098\ud0c0\ub098\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc5ec\uae30\uc11c \ud55c\uad6d\uacfc \uac19\uc740 \uc911\uacac\uad6d\uc774 \uc8fc\uc758\ud560 \uac83\uc740 \uac01\uc885 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\uae30\ub098 \ubbf8\uc911 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc5d0 \ud729\uc4f8\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub3c4\ub85d \uc790\uc2e0\uc774 \ucc98\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc744 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uc911 \uc2a4\uc2a4\ub85c\uac00 \ucca0\uc800\ud788 \uc790\uad6d \uc774\uc775 \uc911\uc2ec\uc8fc\uc758\uc5d0 \uae30\ucd08\ud55c \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \ud3b4\ub294 \uac00\uc6b4\ub370 \uc774\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc123\ubd80\ub978 \uae30\ub300\ub294 \uae08\ubb3c\uc774\ub2e4. \ucd5c\uadfc \uc218\ub144\uac04 \uc9c4\ud589\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uad70\uc0ac\ud611\ub825\uc744 \ubbff\uace0 \uc123\ubd80\ub978 \ub098\ud1a0 \uac00\uc785\uc744 \ucd94\uc9c4\ud55c \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098\uc758 \uad50\ud6c8\uc744 \ub418\uc0c8\uae38 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 \uce68\uacf5 \uc774\ud6c4 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uc804\uc7c1 \ubb3c\uc790\ub97c \uc9c0\uc6d0\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \uad70\uc0ac \uac1c\uc785\uc740 \ucca0\uc800\ud788 \ubc30\uc81c\ud558\uc600\ub2e4. \uacb0\uad6d \uc804\uc7c1\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ud76c\uc0dd\uc740 \uace0\uc2a4\ub780\ud788 \uc6b0\ud06c\ub77c\uc774\ub098\uc758 \ubaab\uc774 \ub418\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ubbf8\uad6d\uc740 \uac01\uc885 \uad6d\ub0b4\ubb38\uc81c\uc640 \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc640 \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \ub3c4\uc804\uc5d0 \uc9d1\uc911\ud558\uba74\uc11c \ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4 \ube44\ud575\ud654\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubb34\uc2ec\ud55c \ubaa8\uc2b5\uc774\ub2e4. \ubd81\ud55c\uc758 \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c \ub3c4\ubc1c\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \uc720\uc5d4 \uacb0\uc758\ub97c \ubc18\ub300\ud55c \uc911\uad6d\uacfc \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 \uc785\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uac19\uc740 \ub9e5\ub77d\uc774\ub2e4. \ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4\uc758 \uc704\uae30\uad00\ub9ac\ub294 \uadf8 \uc5b4\ub290 \ub54c\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ud55c\uad6d\uc758 \ucc45\uc784\uc774 \ub41c \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ub3d9\uc2dc\uc5d0 \ubbf8\uc911\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc5d0 \ud718\ub9d0\ub9ac\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub294 \uc2e0\uc911\ud568\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4. \ub0a8\uc911\uad6d\ud574\ub098 \ub3d9\uc911\uad6d\ud574, \ud639\uc740 \ub300\ub9cc\ud574\ud611\uc758 \ucda9\ub3cc \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 \uc8fc\uc2dc\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \ub9cc\uc77c\uc758 \uc0ac\ud0dc\uc5d0 \ub300\ube44\ud55c \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uc785\uc7a5\uacfc \uc815\ucc45\uc744 \uc810\uac80\ud574\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uad6d\uc774 \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ub300\uc911\uad6d \uacf5\uae09\ub9dd \uad6c\ucd95\uc774\ub098 \uae30\uc220 \ubd09\uc1c4\uc5d0 \uc6b0\ub9ac\uc758 \uad6d\uc775\uc744 \ub530\uc838, \uc720\uc5f0\ud55c \ud611\ub825\uc744 \ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ud070 \ubb34\uc5ed \uc0c1\ub300\uc778 \uc911\uad6d \uc2dc\uc7a5\uacfc \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ub193\uce58\ub294 \uc6b0\ub97c \ubc94\ud574\uc11c\ub294 \uc548 \ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_934\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-934\" class=\"size-large wp-image-934\" src=\"http:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image02-1024x577.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1024\" height=\"577\" srcset=\"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image02-1024x577.png 1024w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image02-300x169.png 300w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image02-768x433.png 768w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image02-260x146.png 260w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image02-50x28.png 50w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image02-133x75.png 133w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/01\/95_image02.png 1310w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-934\" class=\"wp-caption-text\"><strong>&lt;\uadf8\ub9bc 2&gt; \uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544 \ubc1c\ub9ac\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5f4\ub9b0 \uccab \ub300\uba74 \uc815\uc0c1\ud68c\ub2f4\uc5d0\uc11c \uc545\uc218\ub97c \ub098\ub204\ub294 \ubc14\uc774\ub4e0 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uacfc \uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551 \uc8fc\uc11d<\/strong><br \/>\ucd9c\ucc98: <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\">https:\/\/www.nytimes.com<\/a><\/p><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc9c0\ub09c\ud574 11\uc6d4 \uc778\ub3c4\ub124\uc2dc\uc544 \ubc1c\ub9ac G20 \ud68c\uc758\uc5d0\uc11c \ucc98\uc74c \ub300\uba74 \uc815\uc0c1\ud68c\ub2f4\uc744 \uac00\uc9c4 \ubc14\uc774\ub4e0 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uacfc \uc2dc \uc8fc\uc11d\uc740 \uc591\uad6d \uac04 \uc874\uc7ac\ud558\ub294 \uc774\uacac\uacfc \uac08\ub4f1\uc744 \ub4dc\ub7ec\ub0b4\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ucc28\uc6d0\uc758 \uae30\ud6c4 \ubc0f \uac01\uc885 \uacbd\uc81c\uc704\uae30\uc5d0 \uacf5\ub3d9 \ub300\uc751\ud560 \uac83\uc744 \ucc9c\uba85\ud558\uc600\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc591 \uc815\uc0c1\uc740 \uadf8 \uc5b4\ub5a4 \ud615\ud0dc\uc758 \ud575\uc804\uc7c1\ub3c4 \uc77c\uc5b4\ub098\uc9c0 \ub9d0\uc544\uc57c \ud568\uc744 \uac15\uc870\ud558\uace0 \uc0c1\ud638 \uc708-\uc708 \ud558\ub294 \ub300\ud654\uc640 \ud611\ub825 \ucc44\ub110\uc758 \uc720\uc9c0\ub97c \uc57d\uc18d\ud558\uc600\ub2e4. \ubbf8\uc911\uacfc \ub354\ubd88\uc5b4 \ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4\uc758 \ud3c9\ud654\uc640 \ube44\ud575\ud654\ub97c \uc8fc\ub3c4\ud558\ub294 \ud55c\uad6d\uc758 \ub2f4\ub300\ud55c \ub178\ub825\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud558\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][vc_column_text]<span style=\"color: #3366ff;\">* \uc774 \uae00\uc758 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc740 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c\ub098 \uc11c\uc6b8\ub300\uc758 \uacac\ud574\uc640 \ub2e4\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/3&#8243;][vc_acf field_group=&#8221;99&#8243; field_from_99=&#8221;field_606aa715c30de&#8221; align=&#8221;right&#8221;][vc_single_image source=&#8221;featured_image&#8221; img_size=&#8221;full&#8221; alignment=&#8221;center&#8221; style=&#8221;vc_box_border&#8221; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1617603439113{margin-top: -20px !important;}&#8221;][vc_btn title=&#8221;PDF Download&#8221; style=&#8221;flat&#8221; shape=&#8221;square&#8221; color=&#8221;primary&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; i_icon_fontawesome=&#8221;fas fa-file-pdf&#8221; button_block=&#8221;true&#8221; add_icon=&#8221;true&#8221; link=&#8221;url:https%3A%2F%2Fsnuac.snu.ac.kr%2F2015_snuac%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2015%2F07%2F%EC%95%84%EC%8B%9C%EC%95%84%EB%B8%8C%EB%A6%AC%ED%94%84_1-95.pdf|target:_blank&#8221; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1672893867056{margin-top: -30px !important;}&#8221;][vc_column_text]<strong>Tag:<br \/>\n<\/strong>\ubbf8\uc911\uac08\ub4f1, \ubc14\uc774\ub4e0\ud589\uc815\ubd80, \uc2dc\uc9c4\ud551\uc8fc\uc11d, \ube14\ub85d\ud654, \ube44\ud575\ud654[\/vc_column_text][vc_row_inner content_placement=&#8221;middle&#8221; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1642037464047{margin-right: 0px !important;margin-left: 0px !important;background-color: #eaeaea !important;}&#8221;][vc_column_inner][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;\uc774 \uae00\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc790\ub8cc&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h2|font_size:18|text_align:left&#8221;][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Seoul National University Asia Center \uc678 5\uac1c \uae30\uad00 \uc8fc\ucd5c. (2021). \u201cSession 1: US-China Rivalry and Strategies of Asia.\u201d The Asia-China Dialogue 2021: Toward a peaceful and Brighter future. Seoul. November 4. <a href=\"https:\/\/snuac.snu.ac.kr\/?u_event=asia-china-dialogue-2021-toward-a-peaceful-and-brighter-future\">https:\/\/snuac.snu.ac.kr\/<\/a><\/li>\n<li>\uc2e0\uc131\ud638(2020). 21\uc138\uae30 \ubbf8\uc911 \ud328\uad8c \uacbd\uc7c1\uacfc \ud55c\uad6d \uc548\ubcf4 \uc5f0\uad6c\uc758 \uacfc\uc81c\uc640 \uc5ed\ud560. \uad6d\uc81c.\uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5f0\uad6c, 29(3), 29-54. DOI : 10.56115\/RIAS.2020.09.29.3.29<\/li>\n<li>Graham Allison(2015). \u201cThe Thucydides Trap: Are the U.S. and China Headed for War?\u201d The Atlantic (September 25) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/international\/archive\/2015\/09\/united-states-china-war-thucydides-trap\/406756\/\">https:\/\/www.theatlantic.com\/<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner content_placement=&#8221;middle&#8221; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1617604888422{margin-top: 30px !important;margin-right: 0px !important;margin-left: 0px !important;background-color: #eaeaea !important;}&#8221;][vc_column_inner][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;\uc800\uc790\uc18c\uac1c&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h2|font_size:18|text_align:left&#8221;][vc_column_text]<strong>\uc2e0\uc131\ud638<\/strong>(ssheen@snu.ac.kr)<\/p>\n<p>\ud604) \uc11c\uc6b8\ub300\ud559\uad50 \uad6d\uc81c\ub300\ud559\uc6d0 \uad50\uc218 \ubc0f \uad6d\uc81c\uc548\ubcf4\uc13c\ud130 \uc18c\uc7a5, \uc678\uad50\ubd80\u00b7\uad6d\ubc29\ubd80 \uc815\ucc45\uc790\ubb38\uc704\uc6d0<br \/>\n\uc804) \ubbf8 \uad6d\ubc29\ubd80 \uc544\ud0dc\uc548\ubcf4\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c(APCSS) \uc5f0\uad6c\uad50\uc218, \ubd80\ub974\ud0b9\uc2a4\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c \ub3d9\ubd81\uc544\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c \uac1d\uc6d0\uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0,\u00a0\uc6cc\uc2f1\ud134 East West Center \uac1d\uc6d0\uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0<\/p>\n<p><b>\uc8fc\uc694 \uc800\uc11c\uc640 \ub17c\ubb38<\/b><\/p>\n<p>\u300e\uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc2dc\ub300 \ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4 \uc548\ubcf4\uc815\uc138 \ubd84\uc11d \uc804\ub9dd\u300f (\ud3b8\uc800), (\uc11c\uc6b8\ub300 \uad6d\uc81c\ud559\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c, 2021).<br \/>\n\u300e\ubd81\ud575\ubb38\uc81c\uc640 \ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4 \ud3c9\ud654\uc815\ucc29\u300f (\uacf5\uc800), (\ud55c\uc6b8\ucd9c\ud310\uc0ac, 2008).<br \/>\n\u201c\ud55c\ubc18\ub3c4 \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c \ubc29\uc5b4\uc758 \ub51c\ub808\ub9c8: \ubd81\ud575\uacfc \ubbf8\uc911 \ud575 \uacbd\uc7c1 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c.\u201d 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