{"id":1766,"date":"2025-01-06T01:03:12","date_gmt":"2025-01-05T16:03:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/?p=1766"},"modified":"2025-01-03T16:54:06","modified_gmt":"2025-01-03T07:54:06","slug":"2025%eb%85%84-%ec%84%9c%ec%95%84%ec%8b%9c%ec%95%84-%ec%a0%84%eb%a7%9d-%ec%a7%80%ec%a0%95%ed%95%99%ec%a0%81-%ec%9c%84%ea%b8%b0%ec%99%80-%ea%b2%bd%ec%a0%9c-%eb%8b%a4%ea%b0%81%ed%99%94-%ea%b7%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/?p=1766","title":{"rendered":"2025\ub144 \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uc804\ub9dd: \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\uae30\uc640 \uacbd\uc81c \ub2e4\uac01\ud654 \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \ud55c\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uad00\uacc4"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row gap=&#8221;20&#8243;][vc_column width=&#8221;2\/3&#8243;][vc_acf field_group=&#8221;99&#8243; field_from_99=&#8221;field_606aa6f1c30dd&#8221; align=&#8221;right&#8221;][vc_row_inner content_placement=&#8221;middle&#8221; gap=&#8221;20&#8243; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1617603431068{margin-top: -20px !important;background-color: #d6e6eb !important;}&#8221;][vc_column_inner][vc_column_text css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1735891151528{margin-top: -20px !important;margin-bottom: 20px !important;}&#8221;]2024\ub144 \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\ub294 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8-\ud558\ub9c8\uc2a4 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uc774\ub780-\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8 \uac08\ub4f1\uc774 \uc2ec\ud654\ub418\uba70 \uaca9\ub3d9\uc758 \ud55c \ud574\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 13\ub144 \ub0b4\uc804 \ub05d\uc5d0 \uc54c\uc544\uc0ac\ub4dc \uc815\uad8c\uc774 \ubd95\uad34\ub418\uace0 \ubc18\uad70\uc774 \uc9d1\uad8c\ud588\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uc740 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8-\uc774\ub780 \uac04 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc \uc9c0\uc18d(55%), \uc804\uba74\uc804(30%), \ud3c9\ud654 \uc815\ucc29(15%) \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uac78\ud504\ud611\ub825\ud68c\uc758(GCC) \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \ub2e4\uac01\ud654\uc640 \ud22c\uc790 \uc720\uce58\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\ub418\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 UAE\uc640 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544\uac00 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc7ac\uac74\uacfc \uc885\ud30c \uac04 \uac08\ub4f1 \ud574\uc18c\uac00 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uacfc\uc81c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud55c\uad6d\uc740 GCC\uc640\uc758 \ucca8\ub2e8\uc0b0\uc5c5 \ud611\ub825 \uac15\ud654, \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc7ac\uac74 \ucc38\uc5ec, \ubbf8\uc911 \uacbd\uc7c1 \uc18d \uade0\ud615 \uc678\uad50\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc2dc\uc810\uc774\ub2e4.[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_1781\" style=\"width: 617px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-1781\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1781\" src=\"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image04.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"607\" height=\"446\" srcset=\"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image04.png 607w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image04-300x220.png 300w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image04-199x146.png 199w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image04-50x37.png 50w, https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/image04-102x75.png 102w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 607px) 100vw, 607px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-1781\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">\ub450\ubc14\uc774 \ub3c4\uc2ec\uc758 \uc57c\uacbd<br \/>\ucd9c\ucc98: Pexels \uc791\uac00: Ivan Siarbolin<\/p><\/div>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2024\ub144 \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\ub294 \uc804\ub840 \uc5c6\ub294 \uaca9\ub3d9\uc758 \ud55c \ud574\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc \uc774\ub780 \uac04\uc758 \uac08\ub4f1\uc740 \uac00\uc790 \uc9c0\uad6c\uc758 \ud30c\uad34\uc801\uc778 \uc0c1\ud669\uacfc \ub808\ubc14\ub17c\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ubb34\ub825 \ucda9\ub3cc\ub85c \uc774\uc5b4\uc84c\uc73c\uba70, \uc591\uad6d\uc740 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c \uacf5\uaca9\uc744 \uc8fc\uace0\ubc1b\uc73c\uba70 \uc804\uba74\uc804\uc758 \uc704\uae30\uae4c\uc9c0 \uce58\ub2ec\uc558\ub2e4. 10\uc6d4 \ud558\ub9c8\uc2a4-\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8 \uc804\uc7c1 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc740 \ud558\ub9c8\uc2a4\uc640 \ud5e4\uc988\ubcfc\ub77c\uc758 \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80\ub97c \uada4\uba78\uc2dc\ud0a4\uba70 \uad70\uc0ac\ub825\uc744 \uc57d\ud654\uc2dc\ucf30\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 7\uc6d4 \ud558\ub9c8\uc2a4 \uc9c0\ub3c4\uc790 \uc774\uc2a4\ub9c8\uc77c \ud558\ub2c8\uc608(Ismail Haniyeh)\uc758 \uc0ac\ub9dd\uacfc 10\uc6d4 \uc57c\ud750\uc57c \uc2e0\uc640\ub974(Yahya Sinwar)\uc758 \uc0ac\ub9dd\uc740 \ud558\ub9c8\uc2a4 \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80\uc5d0 \uacb0\uc815\uc801 \ud0c0\uaca9\uc744 \uc8fc\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ub808\ubc14\ub17c\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ud5e4\uc988\ubcfc\ub77c \uc9c0\ub3c4\uc790 \ud558\uc0b0 \ub098\uc2a4\ub784\ub77c(Hassan Nasrallah)\uac00 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \uacf5\uc2b5\uc73c\ub85c \uc0ac\ub9dd\ud558\uba70 \uc9c0\ub3c4\ubd80\uac00 \uc640\ud574\ub418\uc5c8\uace0, \uc774\ub780\uacfc \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc740 \ucc98\uc74c\uc73c\ub85c \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ubb34\ub825 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc744 \uacbd\ud5d8\ud588\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 4\uc6d4 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \ub2e4\ub9c8\uc2a4\ucfe0\uc2a4 \uc774\ub780 \uc601\uc0ac\uad00 \ud3ed\uaca9\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc758 \ubcf4\ubcf5 \uacf5\uaca9\uc740 \uc591\uad6d \uad00\uacc4\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uad6d\uba74\uc744 \ubcf4\uc5ec\uc8fc\uc5c8\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ud55c\ud3b8 \uc815\uce58\uc801\uc73c\ub85c\ub294 \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608\uc640 \uc774\ub780\uc5d0\uc11c \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc788\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ud280\ub974\ud0a4\uc608 \uc9c0\ubc29\uc120\uac70\uc5d0\uc11c \uc57c\ub2f9 \uacf5\ud654\uc778\ubbfc\ub2f9\uc758 \uc2b9\ub9ac\ub294 \uc5d0\ub974\ub3c4\uc548(Erdogan) \uc7a5\uae30 \uc9d1\uad8c\uc5d0 \uade0\uc5f4\uc744 \uac00\uc838\uc654\uace0, \uc774\ub780\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc911\ub3c4\ud30c \ud398\uc81c\uc2dc\ud0a4\uc548(Pezeshkian)\uc774 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839\uc73c\ub85c \ub2f9\uc120\ub418\uba70 \ubcc0\ud654\uc758 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc774 \uc9c0\uc6d0\ud558\ub294 \uc608\uba58\uc758 \ud6c4\ud2f0 \ubc18\uad70\uc740 \ud64d\ud574 \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1\uc744 \ubc29\ud574\ud558\uba70 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ubb34\uc5ed\uc5d0 \ud070 \ucc28\uc9c8\uc744 \ube5a\uc5c8\uace0, \uc774\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc0c1\ub2f9\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud55c \uc0c1\ud669\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uac78\ud504\ud611\ub825\ud68c\uc758(GCC) \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \ub2e4\uac01\ud654\uc640 \ud574\uc678 \ud22c\uc790 \uc720\uce58\uc5d0\uc11c \ub208\uc5d0 \ub744\ub294 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uac70\ub450\uc5c8\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc911\uad6d\uc740 \uc77c\ub300\uc77c\ub85c \uad6c\uc0c1\uc758 \uc5f0\uc7a5\uc120\uc0c1\uc5d0\uc11c \uc5ed\ub0b4 \uc0c1\uc5c5\uc801, \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud55c \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc774\ub2c8\uc154\ud2f0\ube0c\ub97c \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucd94\uc9c4\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 2025\ub144\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubcf5\ud569\uc801 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc2ec\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uac08\ub4f1, GCC \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ub3c4\uc57d, \uac15\ub300\uad6d\ub4e4\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825 \uacbd\uc7c1\uc774 \ub9de\ubb3c\ub9ac\uba70 \uc9c0\uc5ed \uc9c8\uc11c\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubcc0\ud654\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \uc7ac\uc120\uc740 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc815\ucc45\uc758 \uae09\uaca9\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \uac00\uc838\uc62c \uc218 \uc788\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \ubcc0\uc218\ub85c \uc791\uc6a9\ud560 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubc30\uacbd\uc5d0\uc11c 2025\ub144 \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uc704\uae30\uc640 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uacf5\uc874\ud558\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc804\ud658\uc810\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>\uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 <\/b><b>2025<\/b><b>\ub144\uc740 \uc5b4\ub5bb\uac8c \uc804\uac1c\ub420\uae4c<\/b><b>?<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 2025\ub144\uc740 \uc138 \uac00\uc9c0 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub85c \uc804\uac1c\ub420 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ub9ac\uc11c\uce58 \uae30\uad00 EIU\ub294 &lt;Middle East outlook 2025&gt;\uc5d0\uc11c \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544 2025\ub144 \uc804\ub9dd\uc5d0 \ub300\ud574\uc11c \ubd80\ubd84\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 55%\uc758 \ud655\ub960\uc744 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uace0 \ubd84\uc11d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uac00\uc7a5 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ub192\uc740 \ubd80\ubd84\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624(55%)\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc774 \uc804\uba74\uc804\uc744 \ud53c\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc774 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ud55c\ub2e4. \uac00\uc790 \uc9c0\uad6c, \uc11c\uc548 \uc9c0\uad6c, \ub808\ubc14\ub17c, \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544, \uc774\ub77c\ud06c\uc5d0\uc11c \ub2e4\uba74\uc804\uc774 \uacc4\uc18d\ub418\uace0, \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc \ud5e4\uc988\ubcfc\ub77c \uac04\uc758 \uc18c\ubaa8\uc804\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ub9dd\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud64d\ud574\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc18d\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ud2b9\ud788 \ucd5c\uadfc \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc758 \uc815\uc138 \ubcc0\ud654\ub294 2025\ub144 \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. 13\ub144\uac04\uc758 \ub0b4\uc804 \ub05d\uc5d0 \uc54c\uc544\uc0ac\ub4dc(al-Assad) \uc815\uad8c\uc774 \ubd95\uad34\ud558\uba70 \ubc18\uad70\uc5d0 \uad8c\ub825\uc774 \uc774\uc591\ub418\uc5c8\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ub3c4\uc804 \uacfc\uc81c\ub4e4\uc774 \uc0b0\uc801\ud574 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\uc815\ubd80 \uc138\ub825\uc744 \ub300\ud45c\ud558\ub294 HTS(Hay&#8217;at Tahrir al-Sham)\uc758 \uc774\uc2ac\ub78c \uadfc\ubcf8\uc8fc\uc758\uc801 \uc131\ud5a5, \uc218\ub2c8\ud30c\uc640 \uc2dc\uc544\ud30c\ub97c \ube44\ub86f\ud55c \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc885\ud30c \uac04\uc758 \uac08\ub4f1 \ud574\uc18c, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uace8\ub780 \uace0\uc6d0\uc744 \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5 \uad00\uacc4\uac00 \uc8fc\uc694 \ud604\uc548\uc73c\ub85c \ub5a0\uc62c\ub790\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub0b4 \ubb34\uc2ac\ub9bc \uc911 \ub2e4\uc218\ub97c \ucc28\uc9c0\ud558\ub294 \uc218\ub2c8\ud30c(70%)\uc640 \uc2dc\uc544\ud30c(13%), \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uae30\ub3c5\uad50\uc778, \ucfe0\ub974\ub4dc\uc871, \ub4dc\ub8e8\uc988\uad50\uc778 \ub4f1 \ub2e4\uc591\ud55c \uc885\ud30c \uac04\uc758 \ud654\ud569\uc774 \uc2dc\uae09\ud55c \uacfc\uc81c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud588\ub2e4. \uc774\uc640 \ud568\uaed8 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc774 \ud63c\ub780\uae30\ub97c \ud2c8\ud0c0 \uace8\ub780 \uace0\uc6d0 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0 \uc815\ucc29\ucd0c\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud558\uba70 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc601\ud1a0\ub97c \uc810\uc9c4\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uc7a5\uc545\ud558\ub824\ub294 \uc6c0\uc9c1\uc784\ub3c4 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub418\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \ubc18\uad70 \uc9c0\ub3c4\uc790 \uc54c\uc878\ub77c\ub2c8(al-Jolani)\ub294 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc758 \uc815\uc0c1\uad6d\uac00\ud654\ub97c \uc57d\uc18d\ud588\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc11c\uad6c\uc640 \uc544\ub78d \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \uadf8\uc758 \uacfc\uac70 \uc774\ub825\uc744 \uc6b0\ub824\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub4e4\uc740 \uc885\ud30c\ub97c \ucd08\uc6d4\ud55c \ud1b5\ud569\uc744 \uc678\uce58\uace0 \uc788\uc9c0\ub9cc, \uc9c4\uc815\ud55c \ubbfc\uc8fc\uc8fc\uc758\uc640 \ud3c9\ud654 \uc815\ucc29\uae4c\uc9c0\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ub09c\uad00\uc774 \ub9ce\uc744 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uad6d\uc81c\uc0ac\ud68c\uc758 \uc9c0\uc9c0\uc640 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uad6d\ubbfc\ub4e4\uc758 \ud1b5\ud569 \ub178\ub825\uc774 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc758 \ubbf8\ub798\ub97c \uc88c\uc6b0\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\ub294 \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825 \ud655\ub300\uc640 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uc758 \uacac\uc81c\uac00 \ucda9\ub3cc\ud558\ub294 \uc8fc\uc694 \uc804\uc7a5\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc640 \ud130\ud0a4\uc758 \uac1c\uc785\ub3c4 \uacc4\uc18d\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ubd81\ubd80\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 \ucfe0\ub974\ub4dc \uc790\uce58 \uc815\ubd80\ub97c \ub458\ub7ec\uc2fc \uac08\ub4f1\uc774 \uc774\uc5b4\uc9c8 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc774\ub780\uc740 \ud575 \ud504\ub85c\uadf8\ub7a8\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc9c1\uc811\uc801\uc778 \ucda9\ub3cc\uc740 \ud53c\ud558\ub824 \ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780\uc740 \ud6c4\ud2f0 \ubc18\uad70, \ud5e4\uc988\ubcfc\ub77c \ub4f1 \ub300\ub9ac \uc138\ub825\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud558\uba74\uc11c, \uacbd\uc81c\uc81c\uc7ac \uc644\ud654\ub97c \uc704\ud574 \uc911\uad6d, \ub7ec\uc2dc\uc544\uc640\uc758 \uad00\uacc4\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uac78\ud504 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 UAE\uc640 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \uacbd\uc81c \ub2e4\uac01\ud654\uac00 \uac00\uc18d\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \uce74\ud0c0\ub974\ub294 \ucc9c\uc5f0\uac00\uc2a4 \uc218\ucd9c\uc744 \ud1b5\ud574 \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \ud655\ub300\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc804\uba74\uc804 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624(30%)\ub294 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc774 \uc804\uba74\uc804\uc73c\ub85c \uce58\ub2eb\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc5ed\ub0b4 \ub300\uaddc\ubaa8 \ubbf8\uc0ac\uc77c \uacf5\uaca9\uc774 \ubc1c\uc0dd\ud558\uace0, \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \ub3d9\ub9f9\uad6d\uc774 \uac1c\uc785\ud558\uba70, GCC \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\ub3c4 \uacf5\uaca9 \ub300\uc0c1\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc911\ub3d9\uc758 \uc11d\uc720 \uc218\ucd9c\uacfc \ubb34\uc5ed\uc774 \ucc28\ub2e8\ub418\uc5b4 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \ud0c0\uaca9\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ud638\ub974\ubb34\uc988 \ud574\ud611\uc774 \ubd09\uc1c4\ub420 \uacbd\uc6b0, \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uac00\uaca9\uc758 \uae09\ub4f1\uacfc \uacf5\uae09\uc0ac\uc2ac\uc758 \uc2ec\uac01\ud55c \ud63c\ub780\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc644\uc804\ud55c \ud3c9\ud654 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624(15%)\ub294 \uad6d\uc81c\uc0ac\ud68c\uc758 \uc555\ub825\uc73c\ub85c \uac00\uc790 \uc9c0\uad6c \ud734\uc804\uc774 \uc131\uc0ac\ub418\uace0, \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8 \uc778\uc9c8\uc774 \uc11d\ubc29\ub418\uba70, \ud5e4\uc988\ubcfc\ub77c\uac00 \ub0a8\ubd80 \ub808\ubc14\ub17c\uc5d0\uc11c \ucca0\uc218\ud558\ub294 \uc0c1\ud669\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uac19\uc740 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8 \ubd81\ubd80 \uc8fc\ubbfc\ub4e4\uc758 \uadc0\ud658\ub3c4 \uac00\ub2a5\ud574\uc9c8 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacbd\uc6b0 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub0b4\uc804\uc758 \uc815\uce58\uc801 \ud574\uacb0\ub3c4 \ubaa8\uc0c9\ub420 \uc218 \uc788\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uad6d\uc81c\uc0ac\ud68c \ubcf5\uadc0\uc640 \uacbd\uc81c\uc81c\uc7ac \uc644\ud654\ub3c4 \uae30\ub300\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud558\uc9c0\ub9cc EIU\uac00 \uc804\ub9dd\ud558\ub4ef \uc644\uc804\ud55c \ud3c9\ud654\ub294 \uc544\uc9c1\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc694\uc6d0\ud574 \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ud2b9\ud788 \ub3c4\ub110\ub4dc \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504(Donald Trump)\uc758 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub300\ud1b5\ub839 \uc7ac\uc120\uacfc \uacf5\ud654\ub2f9\uc758 \uc758\ud68c \uc7a5\uc545\uc73c\ub85c, \ubbf8\uad6d\uc758 \uc911\ub3d9 \uc815\ucc45\uc774 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc644\ud654\uc5d0 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \ubcc0\uc218\uac00 \ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \ud589\uc815\ubd80\uc758 &#8216;\ucd5c\ub300 \uc555\ubc15&#8217; \uc815\ucc45 \uc7ac\uac1c\ub294 \uc774\ub780\uc744 \ub354\uc6b1 \uace0\ub9bd\uc2dc\ud0a4\uace0 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uad00\uacc4\ub97c \uac15\ud654\ud558\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4dc\ub294 \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc774\uc5d0 \ud2b8\ub7fc\ud504 \uc815\ubd80\uc758 \uc911\ub3d9\uc815\ucc45\uc740 \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 2025\ub144 \ud310\ub3c4\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uc9c0\ub300\ud55c \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \uc904 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>2025<\/b><b>\ub144 \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc804\ub9dd<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2024\ub144 \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc548\uc815\uc801\uc778 \uc131\uc7a5 \ud750\ub984\uc744 \uc720\uc9c0\ud588\ub2e4. \uc624\ud788\ub824 GCC \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8-\ud558\ub9c8\uc2a4 \uc804\uc7c1\uc73c\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \uc8fc\ubcc0\uad6d\ub4e4\uc758 \ubd88\uc548\uc815\ud55c \uc815\uc138 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \ud22c\uc790 \uc548\uc804\uc9c0\ub300\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud558\uba70 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \ubc18\uc0ac\uc774\uc775\uc744 \uc5bb\uc5c8\ub2e4.\u00a0UAE\ub294 \ub450\ubc14\uc774\ub97c \uc911\uc2ec\uc73c\ub85c \ud55c \uae08\uc735 \ud5c8\ube0c \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \uc131\uacfc\ub97c \uac70\ub450\uc5c8\uace0, \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544\ub294 &#8216;\ube44\uc804 2030&#8217; \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \ud0c8\uc11d\uc720 \uc0b0\uc5c5 \ub2e4\uac01\ud654\uc5d0 \uc131\uacf5\uc801\uc778 \uc9c4\uc804\uc744 \uc774\ub918\ub2e4. \uce74\ud0c0\ub974\ub294 LNG \uc218\ucd9c \ud655\ub300\ub97c \ud1b5\ud574 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc5d0\uc11c \uc601\ud5a5\ub825\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ubc14\ub808\uc778\uacfc \uc624\ub9cc\ub3c4 \ub514\uc9c0\ud138 \uacbd\uc81c \uc804\ud658\uc5d0 \ubc15\ucc28\ub97c \uac00\ud588\ub2e4. \ub2e4\ub9cc \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8-\ud558\ub9c8\uc2a4 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \ud64d\ud574 \ud574\uc0c1 \uc6b4\uc1a1 \ucc28\uc9c8\ub85c \uc778\ud55c \ubb3c\ub958\ube44\uc6a9 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc740 \uc5ed\ub0b4 \uacbd\uc81c\uc5d0 \ubd80\uc815\uc801 \uc601\ud5a5\uc744 \ubbf8\ucce4\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">2025\ub144 \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\ub294 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0 \uc131\uc7a5\uc138\ub97c \ubcf4\uc77c \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 GCC \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \ub2e4\uac01\ud654\uc640 \ud22c\uc790 \uc720\uce58\uac00 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud560 \ub9cc\ud55c \ub3d9\ub825\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. GCC \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4, \ud2b9\ud788 UAE\uc640 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544\ub294 \uae00\ub85c\ubc8c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc758 \uad00\uc2ec\uc744 \uc9c0\uc18d\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc77c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \ub2e8\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\uc5d0\ub3c4 \ubd88\uad6c\ud558\uace0, \uc7a5\uae30\uc801\uc778 \uc218\uc775\uc131\uc5d0 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ud55c \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc774 \uc774 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uac00\uc7a5 \uc5ed\ub3d9\uc801\uc774\uace0 \ube60\ub974\uac8c \ubc1c\uc804\ud558\ub294 \ube44\uc988\ub2c8\uc2a4 \ud658\uacbd\uc744 \uc120\ud638\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc77c\ubd80 \ud504\ub85c\uc81d\ud2b8\uc758 \uc870\uc815\uc774\ub098 \ucd95\uc18c \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc740 \uc788\uc73c\ub098, \uc804\ubc18\uc801\uc778 \uc678\uad6d\uc778\uc9c1\uc811\ud22c\uc790(FDI)\ub294 \uacc4\uc18d \uc720\uc785\ub420 \uc804\ub9dd\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc640\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \uad00\uacc4\ub294 \ub354\uc6b1 \uac15\ud654\ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. GCC \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc911\uad6d, \uc778\ub3c4\ubfd0\ub9cc \uc544\ub2c8\ub77c ASEAN \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uacfc\uc758 \uad00\uacc4\ub97c \ud655\ub300\ud558\uba70, \uc77c\ubcf8, \ud55c\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \ud611\ub825\ub3c4 \uac15\ud654\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc774\ub780\uc740 \uad6d\uc81c\uc801 \uace0\ub9bd\uc744 \uc644\ud654\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \uc911\uad6d\uacfc\uc758 \uad00\uacc4\uc5d0 \ub354\uc6b1 \uc9d1\uc911\ud560 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ub780\uc774 \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uac00\uae4c\uc6b4 \uc778\ub3c4, \ud55c\uad6d, \uc77c\ubcf8\uacfc\uc758 \uad00\uacc4\ub97c \uac1c\uc120\ud558\uae30\uc5d0\ub294 \uc5ec\ub7ec \uac00\uc9c0 \uacfc\uc81c\uac00 \ub193\uc5ec \uc788\ub2e4. \uc5ed\ub0b4 \ubb34\uc5ed\uacfc \ud22c\uc790 \ud750\ub984\uc740 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc774 \uc644\uc804\ud788 \ud574\uc18c\ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\ub354\ub77c\ub3c4, \uc2e4\uc6a9\uc8fc\uc758\uc801 \uc811\uadfc\uc73c\ub85c \uc810\uc9c4\uc801 \uac1c\uc120\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\"><b>\uacb0\ub860 \ubc0f \uc2dc\uc0ac\uc810<\/b><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uacb0\ub860\uc801\uc73c\ub85c, 2025\ub144 \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\ub294 \uc704\ud5d8\uacfc \uae30\ud68c\uac00 \uacf5\uc874\ud558\ub294 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\uba70, \ud55c\uad6d\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654\uc5d0 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub300\uc751\ud560 \ud544\uc694\uac00 \uc788\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \ub0b4\uc804\uc758 \uc885\uc2dd\uacfc \uadf8\uc5d0 \ub530\ub978 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc815\uce58 \uc9c8\uc11c\uc758 \ud615\uc131, \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8\uacfc \uc774\ub780\uc758 \uae34\uc7a5 \uad00\uacc4 \ubcc0\ud654, GCC \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \ub2e4\uac01\ud654 \ub4f1\uc740 \ud5a5\ud6c4 \uc5ed\ub0b4 \uc9c8\uc11c\ub97c \uc7ac\ud3b8\ud560 \ud575\uc2ec \uc694\uc778\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: justify;\">\ud55c\uad6d\uc740 \uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ubcc0\ud654 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc138 \uac00\uc9c0 \uce21\uba74\uc5d0\uc11c \uc811\uadfc \uc804\ub7b5\uc744 \uc218\ub9bd\ud574\uc57c \ud560 \ud544\uc694\uc131\uc774 \uc788\ub2e4. \uccab\uc9f8, GCC \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uacfc\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c \ud611\ub825\uc744 \uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0 \ubd84\uc57c\uc5d0\uc11c \ucca8\ub2e8 \uc0b0\uc5c5\uc73c\ub85c \ud655\ub300\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uc2e0\uc7ac\uc0dd\uc5d0\ub108\uc9c0, \uc2a4\ub9c8\ud2b8\uc2dc\ud2f0, \ub514\uc9c0\ud138 \uc804\ud658 \ubd84\uc57c\uc5d0\uc11c \ud55c\uad6d\uc758 \uae30\uc220\ub825\uc740 \ud070 \uacbd\uc7c1\ub825\uc744 \uac00\uc9c8 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \ub458\uc9f8, \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc758 \uc7ac\uac74 \uc0ac\uc5c5\uc5d0 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ucc38\uc5ec\ud558\uc5ec \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc744 \uac1c\ucc99\ud558\ub294 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \ud55c\uad6d\uc758 \uac74\uc124, \uc778\ud504\ub77c \uae30\uc220\uc740 \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc758 \uc7ac\uac74 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc5ed\ud560\uc744 \ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc14b\uc9f8, \ubbf8\uad6d\uacfc \uc911\uad6d\uc758 \uacbd\uc7c1 \uad6c\ub3c4 \uc18d\uc5d0\uc11c \uc2e4\uc6a9\uc801\uc774\uace0 \uade0\ud615 \uc7a1\ud78c \uc678\uad50\ub97c \ud3bc\uccd0\uc57c \ud55c\ub2e4. \uc774\ub780, GCC, \uadf8\ub9ac\uace0 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8-\ud314\ub808\uc2a4\ud0c0\uc778 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \ubcf5\uc7a1\ud55c \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uad00\uacc4\ub4e4\uc744 \uc798 \ud30c\uc545\ud558\uace0, \ubcf4\ub2e4 \uc801\uadf9\uc801\uc778 \uc678\uad50 \uc804\ub7b5\uc774 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \ub54c\uc774\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uc740 \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uac00 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc9c8\uc11c\ub97c \ud615\uc131\ud558\ub294 \uc911\uc694\ud55c \uc804\ud658\uc810\uc774 \ub420 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4. \uc774 \uacfc\uc815\uc5d0\uc11c \ud55c\uad6d\uc740 \uc5ed\ub0b4 \uc8fc\uc694\uad6d\ub4e4\uacfc\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5\uc801 \ud611\ub825\uc744 \uac15\ud654\ud558\uace0, \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uae30\ud68c\ub97c \ud3ec\ucc29\ud558\uba74\uc11c\ub3c4 \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \ub9ac\uc2a4\ud06c\ub97c \uc801\uc808\ud788 \uad00\ub9ac\ud558\ub294 \uc9c0\ud61c\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][vc_column_text]<span style=\"color: #3366ff;\">* \uc774 \uae00\uc758 \ub0b4\uc6a9\uc740 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c\ub098 \uc11c\uc6b8\ub300\uc758 \uacac\ud574\uc640 \ub2e4\ub97c \uc218 \uc788\uc2b5\ub2c8\ub2e4.<\/span>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][vc_column width=&#8221;1\/3&#8243;][vc_acf field_group=&#8221;99&#8243; field_from_99=&#8221;field_606aa715c30de&#8221; align=&#8221;right&#8221;][vc_single_image source=&#8221;featured_image&#8221; img_size=&#8221;full&#8221; alignment=&#8221;center&#8221; style=&#8221;vc_box_border&#8221; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1617603439113{margin-top: -20px !important;}&#8221;][vc_btn title=&#8221;PDF Download&#8221; style=&#8221;flat&#8221; shape=&#8221;square&#8221; color=&#8221;primary&#8221; align=&#8221;center&#8221; i_icon_fontawesome=&#8221;fas fa-file-pdf&#8221; button_block=&#8221;true&#8221; add_icon=&#8221;true&#8221; link=&#8221;url:https%3A%2F%2Fasiabrief.snu.ac.kr%2Fwp-content%2Fuploads%2F2025%2F01%2Fasiabrief_5-3_ver2.pdf|target:_blank&#8221; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1735891416445{margin-top: -30px !important;}&#8221;][vc_column_text]<strong>Tag: <\/strong><b>\uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544<\/b><b>, <\/b><b>\uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544<\/b><b>, <\/b><b>\uac00\uc790\uc9c0\uad6c\uc804\uc7c1<\/b><b>, <\/b><b>\uc911\ub3d9<\/b><b>, <\/b><b>\ud3c9\ud654<\/b>[\/vc_column_text][vc_row_inner content_placement=&#8221;middle&#8221; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1721623102881{margin-right: 0px !important;margin-left: 0px !important;background-color: #eaeaea !important;}&#8221;][vc_column_inner][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;\uc774 \uae00\uacfc \uad00\ub828\ub41c \ucd5c\uc2e0 \uc790\ub8cc&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h2|font_size:18|text_align:left&#8221;][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li style=\"list-style-type: none;\">\n<ul>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uad6c\uae30\uc5f0\u00b7\uc548\uc18c\uc5f0\u00b7\ud55c\ud558\uc740\u00b7\ud669\uc758\ud604 (2024). \u300eMENA Focus 2024\ub144 11\uc6d4\ud638\u300f. \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc13c\ud130. http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/?page_id=2320<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uad6c\uae30\uc5f0\u00b7\uc548\uc18c\uc5f0\u00b7\ud55c\ud558\uc740\u00b7\ud669\uc758\ud604 (2024). \u300eMENA Focus 2024\ub144 12\uc6d4\ud638\u300f. \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc13c\ud130. http:\/\/wac.snuac.ac.kr\/?page_id=2369<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\">\uad6c\uae30\uc5f0 (2024). \u201c\uad6d\uc81c\uce7c\ub7fc: \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc758 \ubd04\uc740 \uc62c \uac83\uc778\uac00.\u201d \u300e\uacbd\ud5a5\uc2e0\ubb38\u300f 12\uc6d4 17\uc77c. https:\/\/www.khan.co.kr\/<\/li>\n<li style=\"text-align: justify;\"><u><\/u>The Economist Intelligence Unit Limited (2024). <i>Middle East outlook 2025<\/i>. https:\/\/www.eiu.com\/<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][vc_row_inner content_placement=&#8221;middle&#8221; css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1617604888422{margin-top: 30px !important;margin-right: 0px !important;margin-left: 0px !important;background-color: #eaeaea !important;}&#8221;][vc_column_inner][vc_custom_heading text=&#8221;\uc800\uc790\uc18c\uac1c&#8221; font_container=&#8221;tag:h2|font_size:18|text_align:left&#8221;][vc_column_text]<b>\u00a0\uad6c\uae30\uc5f0 <\/b>(kikiki9@snu.ac.kr)<\/p>\n<p>\ud604) \uc11c\uc6b8\ub300\ud559\uad50 \uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc5f0\uad6c\uc18c HK\uc5f0\uad6c\uad50\uc218 \ubc0f \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\uc13c\ud130 \uc120\uc784\uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0, \ubc95\ubb34\ubd80 \ub09c\ubbfc\uc704\uc6d0\ud68c \uc790\ubb38\uc704\uc6d0<\/p>\n<p>\uc804) \ud55c\uad6d\ubb38\ud654\uc778\ub958\ud559\ud68c \uc5f0\uad6c\uc704\uc6d0, \ud55c\uc591\ub300\ud559\uad50 \ud55c\uad6d\ud559 \uc138\uacc4\ud654\ub7a9 \uc804\uc784\uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0, National University Singapore Middle East Institute \ubc29\ubb38\uc120\uc784\uc5f0\uad6c\uc6d0<\/p>\n<p><strong>&lt;\uc8fc\uc694 \uc800\uc11c\uc640 \ub17c\ubb38&gt;<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u300e\uc544\ub78d\uc758 \ubd04: \uadf8 \ud6c4 10\ub144\uc758 \ud750\ub984\u300f(\uacf5\uc800, \ucc45\uc784\ud3b8\uc9d1), (\uc11c\uc6b8\ub300\ud559\uad50\ucd9c\ud310\ubb38\ud654\uc6d0, 2022).<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWavering theocratic ideology and the politicization of Shia identity: Iran\u2019s ideological rifts amid geopolitical maneuvers.\u201d\u00a0<i>Asian Journal of Political Science<\/i>\u00a032(2), 2024.<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u2018\uc815\uc8fc\u2019\uc640 \u2018\uacc4\uc18d \uc774\uc8fc\u2019 \uc0ac\uc774\uc5d0\uc11c\uc758 \ub51c\ub808\ub9c8: \ud55c\uad6d\uc758 \uc774\ub780 \uc5ec\uc131 \uc720\ud559\uc0dd\ub4e4\uc758 \ubb38\ud654\uc801 \uc801\uc751\uacfc \ucd08\uad6d\uac00\uc801 \uc774\ub3d9\uc131\uc758 \uc804\ub7b5.\u201d \u300e\uacf5\uac04\uacfc \uc0ac\ud68c\u300f 34(2), 2024.[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column_inner][\/vc_row_inner][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2024\ub144 \uc11c\uc544\uc2dc\uc544\ub294 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8-\ud558\ub9c8\uc2a4 \uc804\uc7c1\uacfc \uc774\ub780-\uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8 \uac08\ub4f1\uc774 \uc2ec\ud654\ub418\uba70 \uaca9\ub3d9\uc758 \ud55c \ud574\ub97c \ubcf4\ub0c8\ub2e4. \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544\uc5d0\uc11c\ub294 13\ub144 \ub0b4\uc804 \ub05d\uc5d0 \uc54c\uc544\uc0ac\ub4dc \uc815\uad8c\uc774 \ubd95\uad34\ub418\uace0 \ubc18\uad70\uc774 \uc9d1\uad8c\ud588\ub2e4. 2025\ub144\uc740 \uc774\uc2a4\ub77c\uc5d8-\uc774\ub780 \uac04 \uc81c\ud55c\uc801 \ucda9\ub3cc \uc9c0\uc18d(55%), \uc804\uba74\uc804(30%), \ud3c9\ud654 \uc815\ucc29(15%) \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\uac00 \uc608\uc0c1\ub41c\ub2e4. \uc9c0\uc815\ud559\uc801 \uae34\uc7a5\uc5d0\ub3c4 \uac78\ud504\ud611\ub825\ud68c\uc758(GCC) \uad6d\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uacbd\uc81c \ub2e4\uac01\ud654\uc640 \ud22c\uc790 \uc720\uce58\ub85c \uc131\uc7a5\uc774 \uc804\ub9dd\ub418\uba70, \ud2b9\ud788 UAE\uc640 \uc0ac\uc6b0\ub514\uc544\ub77c\ube44\uc544\uac00 \uc8fc\ubaa9\ubc1b\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc7ac\uac74\uacfc \uc885\ud30c \uac04 \uac08\ub4f1 \ud574\uc18c\uac00 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uacfc\uc81c\ub85c \ubd80\uc0c1\ud588\uc73c\uba70, \ud55c\uad6d\uc740 GCC\uc640\uc758 \ucca8\ub2e8\uc0b0\uc5c5 \ud611\ub825 \uac15\ud654, \uc2dc\ub9ac\uc544 \uc7ac\uac74 \ucc38\uc5ec, \ubbf8\uc911 \uacbd\uc7c1 \uc18d \uade0\ud615 \uc678\uad50\uac00 \ud544\uc694\ud55c \uc2dc\uc810\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":1782,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[736,629,752,54,631],"class_list":["post-1766","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-asia-brief","tag-736","tag-629","tag-752","tag-54","tag-631"],"acf":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1766","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1766"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1766\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1785,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1766\/revisions\/1785"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/1782"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1766"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1766"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/asiabrief.snu.ac.kr\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1766"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}